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Headline Economic Results

Headline Economic Results

Decreases of 1.0% in Real GDP and 0.5% in Modified Domestic Demand in Quarter 2

Online ISSN: 2009-5775
CSO statistical publication, , 11am
Table 1.1 GDP and GNP at constant 2022 prices, Q2 20241
 Amount €mQuarterly % change
Gross Domestic Product119,216-1.0
Gross National Product94,3673.3
Modified Final Domestic Demand61,499-0.5
1Constant Market Prices, chain linked annually and referenced to year 2022, seasonally adjusted

Estimates for the second quarter of 2024 indicate that GDP fell by 1.0% in real terms in Q2 2024 compared to the previous quarter while GNP rose by 3.3%. Modified Domestic Demand, a broad measure of underlying domestic activity that covers personal, government and investment spending declined by 0.5% in Q2. Looking at the first half of 2024, the economy contracted by 4.4% in GDP terms while in terms of GNP it expanded by 1.4% compared with H1 2023.

GDPGNPMDD
Q1 20223.5705826878786-6.69584263259074-0.0219761615701142
Q2 20222.561554027855985.60552100651656.33901427925996
Q3 20222.82364156206982-5.65095425045663-0.802707400589586
Q4 20220.02550480568599416.07748187518602-1.5277614159974
Q1 2023-5.52101497728933-5.145285668201562.41547544116756
Q2 2023-1.0414022157908510.48787131355740.705192344185201
Q3 2023-1.94803506878042-2.24918702084209-1.49028443108992
Q4 2023-1.682620983333974.86741680752522.1881907564836
Q1 20240.563739423971432-7.121569406088881.00148960120867
Q2 2024-1.036310971867873.32263175192948-0.536060478445677

Get the data: NAQ03

Industry (excl. Construction)Information & CommunicationPublic Admin, Education & HealthProfessional, Admin & Support ServicesDistribution, Transport, Hotels & RestaurantsReal Estate ActivitiesFinancial & Insurance ActivitiesConstructionAgriculture, Forestry & FishingArts, Entertainment & Other Services
Q1 202433.90617104623.9507395611.68729321113.81836666712.3606761537.0645586334.9023736192.90397371.5523292391.599189364
Q2 202433.6820167923.73499030611.7789782513.41898258212.2197569057.1279033384.4218807962.8757491181.5160435181.4370137

Get the data: NAQ02

Value added for Domestic economic sectors fell by 1.8% in Quarter 2, Multinational-dominated sectors decreased by 0.1%

The MNE dominated sectors of the economy decreased by 0.1% overall in the second quarter of 2024. Value added for the MNE dominated Industry (excluding Construction) sector recorded a decrease in Q2 compared with the previous quarter, falling by 0.7% while the Information & Communication sector contracted 0.9% in the quarter. The domestically facing sectors of the economy posted a mixed set of results but fell by 1.8% overall in the second quarter of 2024. The Finance & Insurance sector shrank by 9.8% in volume terms quarter-on-quarter in Q2 while the Professional & Administrative services sector contracted by 2.9% over the period compared with Q1 2024. The Distribution, Transport, Hotels & Restaurants sector declined by 1.1% in the quarter while Arts & Entertainment shrank by 10.1%. The domestic facing Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing sector decreased by 2.3% in Q2 while Construction fell by 1.0% over the same period. The domestically dominated Real Estate sector posted a modest increase of 0.9% in Q2 2024 quarter-on-quarter while the Public Administration, Education & Health sector grew by 0.8%. (See Tables 2.5 and 6.3). Looking at half yearly results for 2024 compared with H1 2023, the MNE dominated sectors contracted by 12.3% over the six-month period while the Domestic-facing sectors grew by 2.0%. (See Table 6.2)

Personal Consumption ExpenditureGovernment ExpenditureGross Fixed Capital FormationValue of Physical Changes in StocksNet ExportsModified Final Domestic DemandGDP
Q1 202232.27282364711.89963514923.7851132091.57237761456.0845357656.763597911125.99472683
Q2 202233.6442370812.15941883927.280045143.93523835453.1989043360.361850488129.22214983
Q3 202234.14611800412.26865137329.9484695423.27990686452.6933775659.877321447132.87092016
Q4 202234.5515288512.26677695429.483460695-0.12169297153.7111340158.962538833132.90480863
Q1 202334.84452039912.32919992124.7807079132.62964386852.8478126160.386764478125.56711424
Q2 202335.75048378812.53125039224.651014695.41055715443.7310507260.812607318124.25945553
Q3 202334.77856489512.85031872524.287795714.03882242743.8381357159.906326499121.83883776
Q4 202335.821701812.93582662339.8567139023.20580414826.1225771761.217191198119.78875191
Q1 202435.82914949112.83448914623.7571325171.42987908646.4816547361.830275002120.46404833
Q2 202436.22936690313.0290361488.28975404260.44447516961.5720704961.498827334119.21566618

Get the data: NAQ03, NAQ04NAQ05

Modified Domestic Demand decreased by 0.5% in Q2 2024

On the expenditure side of the accounts (Table 3.5), Capital Investment declined significantly by €16.5 billion during the quarter (-65.3% quarter-on-quarter) with the Capital Formation element decreasing by 65.1% reflecting a significant Intangible Asset export compared with the previous quarter. Capital Investment accounted for 15.1% of total domestic demand in Q2 2024, a lower percentage compared with previous quarters.

Exports expanded by 12.1% in Q2 2024 compared with Q1 2024 while Imports rose by 4.7% which meant that overall net exports for the quarter posted an increase of 32.5% in Q2 compared with Q1 2024 or €15.1 billion higher in money terms quarter-on-quarter. Personal Consumption Expenditure increased by 1.1% quarter-on-quarter with Government Expenditure on Current Goods and Services rising by 1.5% in Q2 compared with the previous quarter. These impacts when combined resulted in an overall fall in Real GDP in Q2 2024 of 1.0%. Final Domestic Demand declined by 20.5% in Q2 compared with Q1, driven principally by the Intellectual Property export effect on Capital Investment, while Modified Domestic Demand fell by 0.5% over the same period.

Turning to the H1 2024 results, Net Exports rose by 10.6% over the period compared with H1 2023 or €10.1 billion in money terms. The increase in Exports of 8.6% half year-over-half year outpaced the increase in Imports of 7.8%. Personal Consumption Expenditure rose by 1.9% in H1 2024 compared with the same period of the previous year, Capital Investment fell by 41.1% while Government Expenditure on Current Goods and Services increased by 3.5%.

GDPNet Factor Income from Rest of WorldGNP
Q1 2022125.99472683-39.39230486.602422832
Q2 2022129.22214983-37.7652191.456939836
Q3 2022132.87092016-46.5821701586.288750007
Q4 2022132.90480863-41.3718754891.532933149
Q1 2023125.56711424-38.7438119886.823302258
Q2 2023124.25945553-28.3302370695.929218469
Q3 2023121.83883776-28.0672468293.771590938
Q4 2023119.78875191-21.4529067998.335845116
Q1 2024120.46404833-29.1312586791.332789655
Q2 2024119.21566618-24.8482242594.367441924

Get the data: NAQ03

Factor income outflows decreased by 14.7% in the quarter, a fall of €4.3 billion in money terms compared with the previous quarter, leading to an increase in GNP of 3.3% for the second quarter compared with the previous quarter. For the Half Year 2024 compared with the equivalent period of 2023, Factor income outflows fell by 19.0% or almost €13.1 billion in money terms.

The calculation methods for quarterly accounts are similar to those used in the Annual National Accounts. As some of the available sources are of lesser reliability than those used for the annual national accounts, the quarterly estimates are subject to a greater margin of error than the annual figures. These preliminary estimates will therefore be revised when the next detailed annual results are published.