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Headline Economic Results

Headline Economic Results

Increases of 0.7% in Real GDP and 1.0% in Modified Domestic Demand in Quarter 1

Online ISSN: 2009-5775
CSO statistical publication, , 11am
Table 1.1 GDP and GNP at constant 2022 prices, Q1 20241
 Amount €mQuarterly % change
Gross Domestic Product120,7500.7
Gross National Product91,608-7.0
Modified Final Domestic Demand61,8131.0
1Constant Market Prices, chain linked annually and referenced to year 2022, seasonally adjusted

Updated estimates for the first quarter of 2024 indicate that GDP rose by 0.7% in real terms in Q1 2024 compared to the previous quarter while GNP fell by 7.0%. Modified Domestic Demand, a broad measure of underlying domestic activity that covers personal, government and investment spending grew by 1.0% in Q1.

GDPGNPMDD
Q1 20223.60203861953099-6.635170647347470.00463086784858735
Q2 20222.342607408114815.263411234763886.25617701562975
Q3 20222.86655348560412-5.59748003257515-0.654355911618176
Q4 20220.1744811056863196.31696945645321-1.63031463510289
Q1 2023-5.4430072757065-5.016452377882772.54006815397936
Q2 2023-1.458403317687839.816023024862220.453271343234807
Q3 2023-1.72375659498298-1.93927806469887-1.22608657853629
Q4 2023-1.542981571245035.055773918262532.0114043254851
Q1 20240.693396106718014-6.967804748269071.03149849754256

Get the data: NAQ03

Industry (excl. Construction)Information & CommunicationPublic Admin, Education & HealthProfessional, Admin & Support ServicesDistribution, Transport, Hotels & RestaurantsReal Estate ActivitiesFinancial & Insurance ActivitiesConstructionAgriculture, Forestry & FishingArts, Entertainment & Other Services
Q4 202336.14519638523.80120141511.59551608313.49832393111.8673540037.1863973144.8070315872.9065595791.5926365621.559300471
Q1 202434.07668943524.08036981811.68245121713.85910229312.2405943137.0437054524.8531201452.8754490771.5508827771.604726978

Get the data: NAQ02

Value added for Multinational-dominated sectors fell by 5.5% in Quarter 1, domestic/other economic sectors grew by 1.1%

The MNE dominated sectors of the economy decreased by 5.5% overall in the first quarter of 2024. Value added for the MNE dominated Industry (excluding Construction) sector recorded a significant decrease in Q1 compared with the previous quarter, falling by 5.7% which outweighed the growth in the Information & Communication sector of 1.2% in the quarter. The domestically facing sectors of the economy posted a mixed set of results in Q1. The Distribution, Transport, Hotels & Restaurants sector expanded by 3.1% in volume terms quarter-on-quarter while the Arts & Entertainment sector increased by 2.9% over the period compared with Q4 2023. The Professional & Administrative services sector grew by 2.7% in the quarter while Finance & Insurance and the Public Administration, Education & Health sector recorded modest increases of 1.0% and 0.7% respectively. The domestic facing Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing sector shrank by 2.6% in Q1 while the Real Estate sector contracted by 2.0% over the same period. The domestically dominated Construction sector posted a 1.1% fall in Q1 2024 quarter-on-quarter. The domestic/other sectors of the economy grew by 1.1% overall in the first quarter of 2024. (See Tables 2.5 and 6.3).

Personal Consumption ExpenditureGovernment ExpenditureGross Fixed Capital FormationValue of Physical Changes in StocksNet ExportsModified Final Domestic DemandGDP
Q1 202232.32351477911.89626887923.7879185011.57237761456.0493852956.768576003126.12149649
Q2 202233.58757318912.15300963827.35197283.93523835453.2618736560.320118607129.07602801
Q3 202234.16546655112.27397979929.9295965793.27990686452.5474258959.925410345132.77606139
Q4 202234.52270021512.27339418829.415183004-0.12169297153.891160258.94843761133.00773053
Q1 202334.96114335612.32759424924.7875705042.62964386852.7371284160.445768101125.76811008
Q2 202335.6196701212.52098406824.7783810855.41055715443.6111800360.719751446123.93390379
Q3 202334.82242077112.85649546424.2413776584.03882242743.7718559459.975274723121.79758495
Q4 202335.77437085712.94080013839.770715983.20580414826.4495588261.181619993119.91827066
Q1 202435.87199014712.73280682923.975774441.46692169346.6453731661.812707484120.74977928

Get the data: NAQ03, NAQ04NAQ05

Modified Domestic Demand increased by 1.0% in Q1 2024

On the expenditure side of the accounts (Table 3.5), Capital Investment declined significantly by €17.5 billion during the quarter (-40.8% quarter-on-quarter) with the Capital Formation element decreasing by 39.7% reflecting the lower levels of investment in Intangible Assets compared with the previous quarter. Capital Investment accounted for 34.4% of total domestic demand in Q1 2024.

Exports expanded by 7.0% in Q1 2024 compared with Q4 2023 while Imports fell by 6.4% which meant that overall net exports for the quarter posted an increase of 76.4% in Q1 compared with Q4 2023 or €20.2 billion higher in money terms quarter-on-quarter. Personal Consumption Expenditure increased by 0.3% quarter-on-quarter with Government Expenditure on Current Goods and Services falling by 1.6% in Q1 compared with the previous quarter. These impacts when combined resulted in an overall rise in Real GDP in Q1 2024 of 0.7%. Final Domestic Demand declined by 18.0% in Q1 compared with Q4 while Modified Domestic Demand grew by 1.0% over the same period.

GDPNet Factor Income from Rest of WorldGNP
Q1 2022126.12149649-39.3839406686.737555824
Q2 2022129.07602801-37.7731179391.302910082
Q3 2022132.77606139-46.5838134786.192247921
Q4 2022133.00773053-41.3707446491.636985896
Q1 2023125.76811008-38.7280499487.040060138
Q2 2023123.93390379-28.3499713195.583932482
Q3 2023121.79758495-28.0672907193.730294246
Q4 2023119.91827066-21.4491846598.469086016
Q1 2024120.74977928-29.1418269291.607952365

Get the data: NAQ03

Factor income outflows increased by 35.9% in the quarter, an increase of €7.7 billion in money terms compared with the previous quarter, leading to a decrease in GNP of 7.0% for the first quarter compared with the previous quarter.

The calculation methods for quarterly accounts are similar to those used in the Annual National Accounts. As some of the available sources are of lesser reliability than those used for the annual national accounts, the quarterly estimates are subject to a greater margin of error than the annual figures. These preliminary estimates will therefore be revised when the next detailed annual results are published.