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Headline Economic Results

Headline Economic Results

Decreases of 4.6% in GDP and 8.0% in GNP in Quarter 1

Online ISSN: 2009-5775
CSO statistical publication, , 11am
Table 1.1 GDP and GNP at constant 2020 prices, Q1 20231
 Amount €mQuarterly % change
Gross Domestic Product114,994-4.6
Gross National Product81,097-8.0
Modified Final Domestic Demand52,7532.7
1Constant Market Prices, chain linked annually and referenced to year 2020, seasonally adjusted

Provisional estimates for the first quarter of 2023 indicate that there was a decrease of 4.6% in GDP in real terms in Q1 2023 compared to the previous quarter while GNP declined by 8.0%. Modified Domestic Demand, a broad measure of underlying domestic activity that covers personal, government and investment spending grew by 2.7% in Q1.

GDPGNP
Q1 20202.717629211642075.83488185127812
Q2 2020-5.51113310385105-7.72674363046053
Q3 202012.70514981774522.14742685842564
Q4 2020-4.87408396878576.29267515997169
Q1 20219.506254220240594.902492177597
Q2 20211.86678416912442.98896464262941
Q3 20213.552379416009854.08965556810676
Q4 2021-1.490798022060893.76452915881795
Q1 20227.85383477251675-0.316662623881836
Q2 20222.139889283384932.6468899559456
Q3 20222.54302728292695-3.44115787216563
Q4 2022-0.1441757948871145.58486043610382
Q1 2023-4.62676826841585-7.96852968221295

Get the data: NAQ03

Industry (excl. Construction)Information & CommunicationProfessional, Admin & Support ServicesPublic Admin, Education & HealthDistribution, Transport, Hotels & RestaurantsReal Estate ActivitiesFinancial & Insurance ActivitiesConstructionArts, Entertainment & Other ServicesAgriculture, Forestry & Fishing
Q4 202254.11241172419.68781142110.1428462839.7010161239.1603391585.9372603434.8803592892.1700545751.2298730620.795837346
Q1 202344.25774742520.46552446810.1199662989.8124074779.4096693975.9675125785.2847308752.4303909221.0415361550.922100324

Get the data: NAQ02

The MNE dominated sectors of the economy contracted by 15.7% overall in the first quarter of 2023. The MNE dominated Industry (excluding Construction) sector recorded a significant decrease in Q1 compared with the previous quarter, falling by 18.2% which outweighed the growth in the Information & Communication sector of 4.0%. The domestically facing Construction sector increased strongly by 12.0% quarter-on-quarter while the Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing sector expanded by 15.9% over the period compared with Q4 2022. The Finance & Insurance sector increased by 8.3% in Q1 while the Distribution, Transport, Hotels & Restaurants sector grew by 2.7% in the quarter. The Arts & Entertainment sector recorded a marked decline of 15.3% in Q1 while Professional & Administrative services fell by a modest 0.2% over the same period. The domestically dominated Public Administration, Education & Health sector posted a 1.1% increase in Q1 2023 with the Real Estate sector recording a modest increase of 0.5% quarter-on-quarter. (See Tables 2.5 and 6.3).

Personal Consumption ExpenditureGovernment ExpenditureGross Fixed Capital FormationValue of Physical Changes in StocksNet ExportsModified Final Domestic DemandGDP
Q1 202026.5933688569.297352979478.0380645162.039149497-23.2307567846.29692105992.726943565
Q2 202022.51090094710.45286075417.6552771891.79106595435.84413073741.0346230187.616638282
Q3 202025.73081486810.54068176825.1034542750.43479991639.14554211446.81224919798.748463441
Q4 202024.93496685210.58216532537.2813263370.22669067919.641822345.30270866493.935380415
Q1 202123.2997030310.82480298418.3877065862.06636630549.6375887543.745496394102.86511648
Q2 202126.29584250310.75570346219.3545880860.30171335349.51879439447.055026882104.78538619
Q3 202127.32764514110.85443159919.5643521562.85550906347.86910797548.720034852108.50776068
Q4 202127.24642883111.07550411638.9786815560.03672792828.9815260349.927437012106.89012913
Q1 202227.11743892210.96223392721.0966635874.1663135153.6337818149.924026027115.28510326
Q2 202227.71780674210.90635475925.5020409511.46967729252.4413711852.360999638117.75207683
Q3 202227.98902024510.83205188148.8073315822.0568961431.6316810651.803620328120.74654427
Q4 202228.43731687111.12583429726.1672349861.68359081450.2067443551.348176984120.57245698
Q1 202328.92523870310.73193806322.83094882.59192589849.27364752.753327739114.9938488

Get the data: NAQ03, NAQ04NAQ05

On the expenditure side of the accounts, Capital Investment declined by €2.4 billion during the quarter (-8.7% quarter-on-quarter) with the Capital Formation element decreasing by 12.7% reflecting the lower levels of investment in Intangible Assets compared with the previous quarter. (See Table 3.5). Capital Investment accounted for 39.1% of total domestic demand in Q1 2023. Exports decreased by a modest 2.1% in Q1 2023 compared with Q4 2022 while Imports fell by a similar percentage of 2.2% which meant that overall net exports for the quarter posted a small decline of 1.9% in Q1 compared with Q4 2022 or €0.9 billion lower in money terms quarter-on-quarter. Personal Consumption Expenditure increased by 1.7% quarter-on-quarter with Government Expenditure on Current Goods and Services falling by 3.5% in Q1 compared with the previous quarter. These impacts when combined resulted in an overall fall in Real GDP in Q1 2023 of 4.6%. Final Domestic Demand declined by 4.9% in Q1 compared with Q4 while Modified Domestic Demand grew by 2.7% over the same period. 

GDPNet Factor Income from Rest of WorldGNP
Q1 202092.726943565-20.472266972.254676666
Q2 202087.616638282-20.9448952466.671743039
Q3 202098.748463441-30.6449934868.103469956
Q4 202093.935380415-21.5463803272.389000093
Q1 2021102.86511648-26.9272513275.93786516
Q2 2021104.78538619-26.5777650978.2076211
Q3 2021108.50776068-27.1017172581.406043431
Q4 2021106.89012913-22.4195314584.470597673
Q1 2022115.28510326-31.081992484.203110862
Q2 2022117.75207683-31.3202022986.431874546
Q3 2022120.74654427-37.2889269883.457617291
Q4 2022120.57245698-32.4538482488.11860874
Q1 2023114.9938488-33.8969975581.096851247

Get the data: NAQ03

Factor income outflows increased by 4.4% in the quarter, an increase of €1.4 billion in money terms compared with the previous quarter, leading to a fall in GNP of 8.0% for the first quarter compared with the previous quarter.

The calculation methods for quarterly accounts are similar to those used in the Annual National Accounts. As some of the available sources are of lesser reliability than those used for the annual national accounts, the quarterly estimates are subject to a greater margin of error than the annual figures. These preliminary estimates will therefore be revised when the next detailed annual results are published.