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Headline Economic Results

Headline Economic Results

Decreases of 2.8% in GDP and 6.9% in GNP in Quarter 1

Online ISSN: 2009-5775
CSO statistical publication, , 11am
Table 1.1 GDP and GNP at constant 2021 prices, Q1 20231
 Amount €mQuarterly % change
Gross Domestic Product117,504-2.8
Gross National Product82,039-6.9
Modified Final Domestic Demand55,4870.1
1Constant Market Prices, chain linked annually and referenced to year 2021, seasonally adjusted

Updated estimates for the first quarter of 2023 indicate that there was a decrease of 2.8% in GDP in real terms in Q1 2023 compared to the previous quarter while GNP declined by 6.9%. Modified Domestic Demand, a broad measure of underlying domestic activity that covers personal, government and investment spending grew by 0.1% in Q1.

GDPGNP
Q1 20203.131516185261685.0087276453159
Q2 2020-5.74527952607431-8.48712262604702
Q3 202012.00030344921992.31291242763303
Q4 2020-4.171352397744625.08855585023424
Q1 202110.52945577638166.02663470217211
Q2 20212.642180648077312.85037778494603
Q3 20212.575491333493952.57805672148037
Q4 2021-1.753154142284872.88095418869385
Q1 20225.63235162119149-2.07721644279497
Q2 20222.500460173111943.69369967037056
Q3 20222.42947526594266-6.07418508830193
Q4 2022-0.04932630384888459.97341811570813
Q1 2023-2.79065028095714-6.88313569291086

Get the data: NAQ03

Industry (excl. Construction)Information & CommunicationProfessional, Admin & Support ServicesPublic Admin, Education & HealthDistribution, Transport, Hotels & RestaurantsReal Estate ActivitiesFinancial & Insurance ActivitiesConstructionArts, Entertainment & Other ServicesAgriculture, Forestry & Fishing
Q4 202250.85693233520.39957065410.64135526110.6185997879.9476466496.3345829414.2175735552.3927459111.3419174791.095741742
Q1 202344.1448892721.3919749610.38008037610.67079271610.119293096.3519697994.5708604192.4964393181.0423020261.119075857

Get the data: NAQ02

The MNE dominated sectors of the economy contracted by 9.0% overall in the first quarter of 2023. The MNE dominated Industry (excluding Construction) sector recorded a significant decrease in Q1 compared with the previous quarter, falling by 13.2% which more than offset the growth in the Information & Communication sector of 4.9% in the quarter. The domestically facing Construction sector increased by 4.3% quarter-on-quarter while the Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing sector expanded by 2.1% over the period compared with Q4 2022. The Finance & Insurance sector increased by 8.4% in Q1 while the Distribution, Transport, Hotels & Restaurants sector grew by 1.7% in the quarter. The Arts & Entertainment sector recorded a marked decline of 22.3% in Q1 while Professional & Administrative services fell by 2.5% over the same period. The domestically dominated Public Administration, Education & Health sector and the Real Estate sector posted modest increases of 0.5% and 0.3% quarter-on-quarter respectively in Q1 2023. (See Tables 2.5 and 6.3).

Personal Consumption ExpenditureGovernment ExpenditureGross Fixed Capital FormationValue of Physical Changes in StocksNet ExportsModified Final Domestic DemandGDP
Q1 202027.9553621999.564926518379.1106300161.87664893-23.9453362548.55837951694.281600006
Q2 202023.80295377810.67679251818.3640515991.15610972134.8295919142.99562175788.864858544
Q3 202026.94796438210.69891259125.3719263260.38549617638.35246404148.25607221399.528911229
Q4 202026.34725640610.87544986738.0629429280.06498798218.1693969447.42272412395.377209604
Q1 202125.30445772611.21493627518.5552600382.12384960949.38359843346.544968981105.41991071
Q2 202128.74846189311.15671603220.0281318140.05747956348.96793489150.340706656108.20529519
Q3 202129.69089644610.87569088419.3715856893.13579461748.36941691450.77321924110.99211319
Q4 202129.98855491811.18221333838.842746989-0.10956058827.4604453152.566559444109.04625036
Q1 202230.22424763711.25384012421.4449165731.56717703451.4852931952.976966286115.18811861
Q2 202231.13876287411.46314678125.5720633963.86921801346.9112705455.922948046118.06835164
Q3 202231.40804780811.6938967727.7884607754.19840775345.0652504655.395299308120.93679304
Q4 202231.869544411.59208997927.242855721-0.01113184747.3606595255.419077707120.87713939
Q1 202331.89851469211.02163049722.7498062152.67764337448.3360357555.487048638117.50388116

Get the data: NAQ03, NAQ04NAQ05

On the expenditure side of the accounts (Table 3.5), Capital Investment declined by €1.8 billion during the quarter (-6.6% quarter-on-quarter) with the Capital Formation element decreasing by 16.5% reflecting the lower levels of investment in Intangible Assets compared with the previous quarter. Capital Investment accounted for 37.2% of total domestic demand in Q1 2023. Exports decreased by a modest 1.5% in Q1 2023 compared with Q4 2022 while Imports fell by 2.9% which meant that overall net exports for the quarter posted a small increase of 2.1% in Q1 compared with Q4 2022 or €1.0 billion higher in money terms quarter-on-quarter. Personal Consumption Expenditure increased by 0.1% quarter-on-quarter with Government Expenditure on Current Goods and Services falling by 4.9% in Q1 compared with the previous quarter. These impacts when combined resulted in an overall fall in Real GDP in Q1 2023 of 2.8%. Final Domestic Demand declined by 7.1% in Q1 compared with Q4 while Modified Domestic Demand grew by 0.1% over the same period. 

GDPNet Factor Income from Rest of WorldGNP
Q1 202094.281600006-20.0987701174.182829899
Q2 202088.864858544-20.9780163967.886842158
Q3 202099.528911229-30.0719058669.457005367
Q4 202095.377209604-22.3858457372.991363877
Q1 2021105.41991071-28.0296239777.390286742
Q2 2021108.20529519-28.6090929179.596202283
Q3 2021110.99211319-29.3438756681.648237526
Q4 2021109.04625036-25.0457645284.000485845
Q1 2022115.18811861-32.9325046782.255613941
Q2 2022118.06835164-32.7744623685.293889282
Q3 2022120.93679304-40.8238124780.112980578
Q4 2022120.87713939-32.774156388.102983096
Q1 2023117.50388116-35.4651459482.03873522

Get the data: NAQ03

Factor income outflows increased by 8.2% in the quarter, an increase of €2.7 billion in money terms compared with the previous quarter, leading to a fall in GNP of 6.9% for the first quarter compared with the previous quarter.

The calculation methods for quarterly accounts are similar to those used in the Annual National Accounts. As some of the available sources are of lesser reliability than those used for the annual national accounts, the quarterly estimates are subject to a greater margin of error than the annual figures. These preliminary estimates will therefore be revised when the next detailed annual results are published.