A CSO Frontier Series Output- What is this?
CSO statistical release, , 11am
As a consequence of COVID-19 restrictions in Ireland, large sections of the Irish economy were closed during parts of 2020 and 2021, particularly sectors which provided face-to-face services. These closures resulted in the payment of State supports for both employees and employers, including, for exampling the Pandemic Unemployment Payment (PUP) and the Wage Subsidy Scheme (WSS).
This Frontier Publication, “Impact of COVID-19 Income Supports on Employees, Insights from Real Time Administrative Data Sources, Series 3” is an update to the previous editions issued in December 2020 and May 2021. This updated publication contains additional analyses including both new cohorts and new categories. In previous releases cohorts were tracked across the reference quarter and the quarter 12 months previously, but in this update a matched sample is taken for all those present in quarter 3 of 2019, 2020 and 2021. The new categories included are:
In addition, this updated publication includes not only the percentage change in earnings, but, to aid in the interpretation of the differences between the various cohorts, it also includes weekly earnings/income levels.
This report is part of the CSO series “Insights from Real Time Administrative Data Sources” which uses administrative data on employee earnings and COVID-19 support scheme payments from the Revenue Commissioners and the Department of Social Protection (DSP) to provide insight and timely statistics to inform society and decision makers. As a CSO Frontier Series Publication, particular care must be taken when interpreting the statistics in this experimental analysis.
Summary
At State level, for the cohort of individuals who were present in all three periods (Q3 2021, Q3 2020 and Q3 2019), the figures show that the proportion of persons who had:
In addition, for those who had no income supports in both Q3 2021 and Q3 2020, the figures show that:
Additional detail is presented in the report and the data included is also available from the CSO’s PxStat data service - here. Section 1 below provides a demographic analysis of the proportion of the sample that are in the various cohorts, Section 2 provides information on the median age of these cohorts by sex and county and Section 3 provides information on these cohort’s median weekly earnings/income. Finally, Section 4 examines those cohorts who had no supports in Q3 2021 or Q2 2020 and had no supports in Q3 2021 but did in Q3 2020 and also looks at the differences between those who changed employer and those who did not.
At a State level, focusing on the cohort of individuals present in all three periods of Q3 (2021, 2020 and 2019) the following can be said;
Focusing across those who had no income supports in both Q3 2021 and Q3 2020 (age, sex and county) the following insights were seen;
See Table 1.1, Figure 1.1 and 1.2 for further information.
| X-axis label | Supports in Q321 and No Supports in Q320 | Supports in Q321 and Q320 | No Supports in Q321 and Supports in Q320 | No Supports in Q321 and Q320 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | 3.6 | 15.6 | 14.2 | 66.7 |
| Male | 4 | 14.6 | 15.5 | 65.8 |
| Female | 3.1 | 16.6 | 12.8 | 67.6 |
| Under 25 years | 8 | 25.7 | 20.7 | 45.5 |
| 25 years and over | 2.8 | 13.8 | 13 | 70.4 |
| X-axis label | Supports in Q321 and No Supports in Q320 | Supports in Q321 and Q320 | No Supports in Q321 and Supports in Q320 | No Supports in Q321 and Q320 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipperary | 3.3 | 12.4 | 14.4 | 69.9 |
| Cork | 3.4 | 13.2 | 13.7 | 69.7 |
| Roscommon | 3.2 | 12.6 | 14.6 | 69.6 |
| Offaly | 3.3 | 12.7 | 15.4 | 68.6 |
| Kildare | 3.2 | 13.7 | 15.1 | 68 |
| Laois | 3.4 | 13.7 | 15 | 67.9 |
| Kilkenny | 3.1 | 14.3 | 14.8 | 67.8 |
| Longford | 3.1 | 12.8 | 16.3 | 67.7 |
| Leitrim | 3.4 | 14.3 | 14.9 | 67.4 |
| Limerick | 3.7 | 14.9 | 14.1 | 67.3 |
| Dublin | 3.3 | 16.7 | 12.7 | 67.2 |
| Sligo | 3.5 | 15.2 | 14.4 | 67 |
| Galway | 3.6 | 15.5 | 14.3 | 66.6 |
| Cavan | 3.1 | 13.7 | 16.5 | 66.6 |
| Westmeath | 3.7 | 14.1 | 16.1 | 66.2 |
| Waterford | 3.7 | 14.4 | 15.6 | 66.2 |
| Meath | 3.8 | 15.7 | 14.7 | 65.8 |
| Mayo | 4.1 | 16.6 | 13.8 | 65.5 |
| Wicklow | 3.9 | 16.4 | 14.3 | 65.4 |
| Louth | 4 | 15.8 | 15.4 | 64.8 |
| Clare | 4.5 | 17.7 | 13.9 | 63.9 |
| Carlow | 3.2 | 13.4 | 20.4 | 63 |
| Donegal | 3.9 | 19.7 | 13.5 | 63 |
| Wexford | 4.1 | 16.2 | 17.1 | 62.6 |
| Monaghan | 3.3 | 14.9 | 20.1 | 61.7 |
| Kerry | 6.1 | 22.4 | 14 | 57.5 |
Examining the median age of the cohorts, at a state level, the following can be said.
Across counties, those who received no income supports in both Q3 2021 and Q3 2020 had the highest median age. The oldest was 42, seen in Clare, Leitrim, and Sligo, while the youngest was in Dublin where it was 39.
See Table 1.2, Figure 1.3, and Map 1.1 for further information.
| X-axis label | No Supports in Q321 and Q320 | No Supports in Q321 and Supports in Q320 | Supports in Q321 and Q320 | Supports in Q321 and No Supports in Q320 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | 40 | 36 | 35 | 32 |
| Male | 40 | 36 | 35 | 34 |
| Female | 40 | 36 | 35 | 29 |
| Under 25 years | 21 | 21 | 20 | 19 |
| 25 years and over | 42 | 40 | 40 | 40 |
Examining the changes in median income (earnings and or income supports (PUP and/ or TWSS/EWSS) were relevant) the following can be said.
Comparing median income in Q3 2019 and Q3 2021 for those who received supports in both Q3 2020 and Q3 2021, across different segments (sex, age, county), the following was seen.
See Table 1.3, 1.4 and Figure 1.3 for more information.
| X-axis label | Income Q3 2019 | Income Q3 2020 | Income Q3 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Supports in Q321 and Q320 | 755 | 798 | 854 |
| No Supports in Q321 and supports in Q320 | 498 | 467 | 581 |
| Supports in Q321 and Q320 | 413 | 367 | 410 |
| Supports in Q321 and no supports Q320 | 450 | 470 | 440 |
The final section of this publication examined only the cohort who had no supports in either Q3 2021 or Q3 2020 and those who had no supports in Q3 2021 but did in Q3 2020 and examined whether they stayed with their same employer or moved to a different one.
For clarity the following steps are taken for ease of interpretation. Only those with a recorded employment in both quarters are taken. Those who had multiple different employments within a quarter are excluded. Note also that an individual could potentially have a different employment in Q3 2019, therefore comparing the percentage change in Q3 2019 vs Q3 2021 may be affected by compositional impacts.
Across different segments (sex and age), comparing median income in Q3 2020 and Q3 2021 for those who received supports in Q3 2020 and no longer did in Q3 2021, between those who remained with their same employer and those who did not, the following can be said.
See Figure 1.6, 1.7 and Table 5.1 for more information
| X-axis label | Income Q3 2019 | Income Q3 2020 | Income Q3 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Supports in Q321 and Q320-Same Employer | 778 | 821 | 873 |
| No Supports in Q321 and Q320-Different Employer | 596 | 632 | 712 |
| No Supports in Q321 and supports in Q320-Same Employer | 548 | 519 | 610 |
| No Supports in Q321 and supports in Q320-Different Employer | 457 | 428 | 567 |
| X-axis label | Median Age |
|---|---|
| No Supports in Q321 and Q320-Same Employer | 41 |
| No Supports in Q321 and Q320-Different Employer | 32 |
| No Supports in Q321 and supports in Q320-Same Employer | 39 |
| No Supports in Q321 and supports in Q320-Different Employer | 29 |
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