This release was compiled during the COVID-19 crisis. The results contained in this release reflect some of the economic impacts of the COVID-19 situation. For further information see Information Note - Implications of COVID-19 on the Quarterly National Accounts Quarter 4 2020.
Table 1.1 GDP and GNP at constant 2018 prices, 20201 | ||
Amount €m | Annual % change | |
GDP | 356,981 | 3.4 |
GNP | 266,645 | 0.6 |
1Constant Market Prices, chain linked annually and referenced to year 2018. |
Preliminary estimates indicate that GDP in volume terms increased by 3.4% for the year 2020. GNP showed an increase of 0.6% in 2020 over 2019.
GDP | GNP | |
2014 | 8.64044580023151 | 8.97795744763175 |
2015 | 25.1764021114106 | 13.7108784207774 |
2016 | 1.9937602785647 | 7.62160830767618 |
2017 | 9.12944001556286 | 6.27303948920124 |
2018 | 8.51639559334747 | 7.29216064133897 |
2019 | 5.56520127630848 | 3.39898584461622 |
2020 | 3.41782128246717 | 0.607673610065507 |
Industry (excl. Construction) | Information and Communication | Public Admin, Education and Health | Distribution, Transport, Hotels and Restaurants | Professional, Admin and Support Services | Real Estate Activities | Financial and Insurance Activities | Construction | Agriculture Forestry and Fishing | Arts, Entertainment and Other Services | |
2020 | 133.7242681151 | 52.5564710686 | 33.5703557331 | 30.9316649273 | 29.6256757143 | 19.898092961 | 19.4556265311 | 7.5015406068 | 3.6724286686 | 1.941567936 |
2019 | 116.1121042353 | 45.9643086332 | 33.9429403137 | 37.1516311669 | 35.0628563725 | 20.2332868839 | 19.684697239 | 8.5929884593 | 3.7333870767 | 4.2612108539 |
Value added for Multinational-dominated sectors increased in 2020, all other economic sectors declined
Value added for the Industry (excluding Construction) and Information & Communication sectors recorded increases of 15.2% and 14.3% respectively in real terms in the year, see Table 2.4. Distribution, Transport, Hotels & Restaurants declined by 16.7% year-on-year while Professional Admin and Support Services decreased by 15.5%. Construction recorded a decline of 12.7% in volume terms in 2020 compared to 2019, while the Arts & Entertainment sector declined by 54.4%. Other sectors exhibited modest, low single digit percentage declines in the year. (Public Administration, Education & Health -1.1%, Real Estate activities -1.7%, Financial & Insurance -1.2% and the Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing sector -1.6%).
Personal Consumption Expenditure | Government Expenditure | Gross Fixed Capital Formation | Value of Physical Changes in Stocks | Net Exports | Modified Final Domestic Demand | GDP | |
2014 | 92.6882539541 | 27.4682367493 | 43.6519178959 | 2.8491873325 | 41.6892447108 | 150.2408997211 | 216.2698105053 |
2015 | 95.6377103856 | 28.111475249 | 65.5485977302 | 4.1671075089 | 70.6697566684 | 157.0188850652 | 270.7187676437 |
2016 | 100.3841709276 | 29.357606245 | 98.8831440095 | 4.7347459782 | 37.4843322877 | 166.1917532012 | 276.1162508996 |
2017 | 102.7748574609 | 30.4657494643 | 98.8586170427 | 4.1642304901 | 64.597042055 | 171.9807794632 | 301.3241183987 |
2018 | 105.6264106331 | 32.2267049795 | 92.7487769374 | 1.3517236338 | 92.787451421 | 179.3224273184 | 326.9860723397 |
2019 | 108.9859717428 | 34.2652972366 | 162.1344868857 | 1.7362876728 | 35.5403085022 | 185.2379137617 | 345.1835054109 |
2020 | 99.1271321581 | 37.6398079902 | 109.7022554381 | 5.2130128983 | 108.9630732383 | 175.1649084536 | 356.9812607224 |
Intellectual Property effects in Imports and Capital Investment, Impact of COVID-19
On the expenditure side of the accounts (Table 3.4), Capital Investment, driven by Intellectual Property Products (IPP), declined by €49.0 billion during 2020 while Personal Consumption Expenditure, which accounts for just over 40% of Domestic Demand, fell 9.0% compared with the previous year. Government expenditure increased by 9.8% over the same period. Final Domestic Demand decreased by 19.3% in 2020 compared with 2019 while Modified Domestic Demand decreased by 5.4% over the year.
Exports grew 6.2% during the year while Imports decreased by 11.3%, driven to a considerable extent by a fall in IPP investment compared with 2019. Overall net exports for the year increased by €73.4 billion which when combined with the 19.3% fall in domestic demand resulted in an overall increase in real GDP in 2020 of 3.4%. Factor income outflows were 12.7% higher in 2020 (+€10.2 billion) compared with 2019 leading to an overall increase in real GNP of 0.6%.
Table 1.2 GDP and GNP at constant 2018 prices, Q4 20201 | ||
Amount €m | Quarterly % change | |
GDP | 89,871 | -5.1 |
GNP | 69,655 | 8.5 |
1Constant Market Prices, chain linked annually and referenced to year 2018, seasonally adjusted |
Initial estimates for the fourth quarter of 2020 indicate that there was a fall of 5.1% in GDP in real terms in Q4 2020 compared to the previous quarter.
GDP | GNP | |
2019 Q1 | -0.699718890466572 | -0.177634486255651 |
2019 Q2 | 4.72529984436996 | 4.35225825494239 |
2019 Q3 | -0.168996041450098 | 0.613065720614481 |
2019 Q4 | 3.61447364531615 | 5.69204670051355 |
2020 Q1 | -3.90694162617026 | -5.15805420733613 |
2020 Q2 | -2.13823793801503 | -3.16910539598386 |
2020 Q3 | 11.7932908907346 | -0.820288462894558 |
2020 Q4 | -5.08641478987019 | 8.47365608769983 |
Industry (excl. Construction) | Information and Communication | Public Admin, Education and Health | Distribution, Transport, Hotels and Restaurants | Professional, Admin and Support Services | Real Estate Activities | Financial and Insurance Activities | Construction | Agriculture Forestry and Fishing | Arts, Entertainment and Other Services | |
2020 | 33.941654683 | 12.678408428 | 8.493537366 | 8.088201458 | 7.536720788 | 5.061978466 | 4.9931188 | 2.172618454 | 0.94353967 | 0.318274048 |
2019 | 33.979969954 | 15.176885083 | 8.419188492 | 8.242126297 | 7.27335648 | 4.888224909 | 4.913089508 | 1.86527825 | 0.929532737 | 0.323884485 |
While Industry (excluding Construction) changed little in the quarter, Information and Communication declined by 16.5% in Q4 while the domestically dominated Distribution, Transport, Hotels & Restaurants sector decreased by 1.9%. Quarter-on-quarter increases were recorded in Professional & Administrative services (3.6%), Construction (16.5%), Real Estate (3.6%), Finance & Insurance (1.6%), and Agriculture (1.5%). The Arts & Entertainment decreased by 1.7% over the period compared with Q3 2020. (See Table 2.6)
Personal Consumption Expenditure | Government Expenditure | Gross Fixed Capital Formation | Value of Physical Changes in Stocks | Net Exports | Modified Final Domestic Demand | GDP | |
2018 Q1 | 26.098801097 | 7.8451040548 | 16.314388859 | 1.7858467541 | 27.815614691 | 44.261272499 | 79.714222153 |
2018 Q2 | 26.399091894 | 8.0642638157 | 16.636030697 | -0.362671083 | 30.275301463 | 44.874865402 | 82.134191217 |
2018 Q3 | 26.5457525 | 8.1886607788 | 19.202855496 | 0.2681396303 | 26.81708513 | 44.971779066 | 82.215113748 |
2018 Q4 | 26.564587158 | 8.1340518375 | 40.391631577 | -0.2690002722 | 10.08906812 | 45.090350127 | 83.730135056 |
2019 Q1 | 27.045428645 | 8.5039705072 | 18.761657683 | 0.9072641514 | 28.189760157 | 46.117057116 | 83.144259484 |
2019 Q2 | 27.286739564 | 8.539692143 | 59.976567243 | -1.096186789 | -8.38902351 | 45.912693265 | 87.073075048 |
2019 Q3 | 27.313984354 | 8.6031421844 | 21.123189582 | 1.2520598537 | 27.371397451 | 46.783621108 | 86.925924998 |
2019 Q4 | 27.327206682 | 8.6255929285 | 62.01536328 | 0.7003263976 | -7.17972391 | 46.236304234 | 90.067839648 |
2020 Q1 | 26.462626225 | 8.6663476757 | 50.042880322 | 0.9402398971 | -2.07692728999999 | 45.402329404 | 86.548941729 |
2020 Q2 | 21.41104803 | 9.5950465989 | 17.373297765 | 1.6553982157 | 36.7011458 | 38.677655617 | 84.698319422 |
2020 Q3 | 25.88885497 | 9.6891560772 | 18.394377004 | 0.7506602243 | 43.113804466 | 45.93242074 | 94.687038611 |
2020 Q4 | 25.281390996 | 9.6957745617 | 23.681408036 | 1.8690191172 | 29.546536025 | 44.915332196 | 89.870863075 |
On the expenditure side of the accounts (Table 3.6), Capital Investment, exhibited an increase of €6.4 billion in Q4 compared with the previous quarter and accounted for 42.2% of domestic demand in Q4 2020. Imports increased by 24.4% in Q4 2020 compared with Q3 2020 while Exports increased by 4.2% which meant that overall net exports for the quarter were 31.5% lower in Q4 compared with Q3 or €13.6 billion lower in money terms quarter-on-quarter. These two impacts combined resulted in an overall decline in the real GDP growth rate in Q4 2020 of 5.1%. With Personal Consumption Expenditure down by 2.3% in Q4 compared to Q3, Final Domestic Demand increased by 8.7% in Q4 compared with Q3 while Modified Domestic Demand fell by 2.2% over the same period.
GDP | Net Factor Income from Rest or World | GNP | |
2018 Q1 | 79.714222153 | -17.21704392 | 62.49717823 |
2018 Q2 | 82.134191217 | -16.31020121 | 65.823990006 |
2018 Q3 | 82.215113748 | -17.09199008 | 65.123123669 |
2018 Q4 | 83.730135056 | -20.08549635 | 63.644638709 |
2019 Q1 | 83.144259484 | -19.6126756 | 63.531583882 |
2019 Q2 | 87.073075048 | -20.77643256 | 66.296642486 |
2019 Q3 | 86.925924998 | -20.22284052 | 66.703084475 |
2019 Q4 | 90.067839648 | -19.56798445 | 70.499855194 |
2020 Q1 | 86.548941729 | -19.68550728 | 66.863434447 |
2020 Q2 | 84.698319422 | -19.95385768 | 64.744461738 |
2020 Q3 | 94.687038611 | -30.47366822 | 64.213370388 |
2020 Q4 | 89.870863075 | -20.21627252 | 69.654590557 |
Factor income outflows were €10,257m lower than in the previous quarter leading to an overall increase in GNP of 8.5% for the fourth quarter compared with the previous quarter.
The calculation methods for quarterly accounts are similar to those used in the annual National Income and Expenditure. As some of the available sources are of lesser reliability than those used for the annual national accounts, the quarterly estimates are subject to a greater margin of error than the annual figures. These preliminary estimates will therefore be revised when the next detailed annual results are published. |
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