Household saving
Gross disposable income of households (B.6g) and the adjustment for the change in pension entitlements (D.8) together comprise actual gross disposable income of households. The growth rate of actual disposable income is illustrated by the line graph in Figure 1 below. The contributions to this trend by the various components of actual gross disposable income are illustrated in the bar charts. The significance of compensation of employees (COE) and net social benefits in explaining both the negative trend at the time of the financial crisis and subsequent recovery in recent years can be seen.
COE | Net property inc , Adj in pension entitlements and other curr transfers | Gross disposable inc | GOS | Net Soc benefits | Current taxes | |
2003 | 6.41019236397199 | 1.51192714078212 | 8.13871103048776 | 1.93676732496466 | -0.314851777358927 | -1.91495223936671 |
2004 | 6.35968869032176 | 0.425046827426897 | 7.26276265871842 | 1.51054942664905 | 0.879113612567293 | -2.44368906654051 |
2005 | 8.41051797773076 | -0.721056749745127 | 10.294858708349 | 2.29094946275317 | 1.14506314298528 | -1.73797501196037 |
2006 | 7.5449166983762 | -0.627757533960929 | 7.64203800638132 | 1.83362318032927 | 0.802973971487825 | -2.43144217006294 |
2007 | 7.33829286801711 | -1.68940831433529 | 8.848426197259 | 2.95839082337886 | 0.75776192120254 | -1.16747778380854 |
2008 | 3.21415650471894 | -0.739850923848644 | 7.02484690203352 | 0.102843557531503 | 2.39091134584741 | 1.59589495685367 |
2009 | -7.68417541711273 | 0.370762082056541 | -7.51521531879331 | -6.30235686912921 | 3.99196674177182 | 1.58931748588056 |
2010 | -5.74388079800274 | 0.350177893025354 | -5.08306131111833 | -1.26164132656003 | 0.73668168649671 | 0.597948347260889 |
2011 | 0.166266638552083 | -1.17887038144537 | -1.92982975670915 | 1.13032802023139 | -0.412094210647332 | -1.66788926582597 |
2012 | 0.00517289913523103 | 2.30066439062964 | 0.307926590378111 | -1.28297529113586 | 0.690751859022333 | -1.40610260905967 |
2013 | 2.71642058632904 | -0.353758729558659 | 1.08205023117053 | 0.608678074529702 | -1.59549554832167 | -0.303063661386044 |
In overall terms household actual gross disposable income increased from €89.2bn in 2012 to €90.2bn in 2013. Household final expenditure on goods and services also increased from €77.7bn in 2012 to €78.7bn in 2013. As a result the gross saving of households (B.8g) was practically unchanged from €11.5bn in 2012 to €11.4bn in 2013. Expressed as a percentage of actual gross disposable income the corresponding gross saving ratio was 12.9 per cent in 2012 and 12.7 per cent in 2013.
Figure 2 shows actual gross disposable income, final expenditure on goods and services and the saving ratio for the household sector for the period 2003 - 2013. Also included in Figure 2 is the EU saving ratio. Similar to the recent trend in Irish saving, the EU saving ratio of 11 per cent is unchanged between 2012 and 2013.
PCE | GDI | Saving Ratio | EU Saving Ratio | |
2003 | 65.0029735381937 | 67.6546377171504 | 7.28647104146456 | 12.01 |
2004 | 68.5505335274023 | 72.7727608372684 | 8.61118238182251 | 12.2 |
2005 | 74.5210001519861 | 80.0427754384609 | 9.69753897462265 | 11.58 |
2006 | 81.4320299287315 | 86.0249575638996 | 8.14286826506194 | 11.04 |
2007 | 89.4686995392025 | 93.2507316294362 | 7.08897232760168 | 10.9 |
2008 | 90.6545066090879 | 99.7999678587892 | 11.8539988364143 | 11.15 |
2009 | 79.439056387158 | 92.8627880506985 | 16.7172839668841 | 13.07 |
2010 | 77.9866585715173 | 88.4447600881403 | 13.9969187233231 | 11.86 |
2011 | 78.4992213869062 | 86.8663077380594 | 11.7732204230626 | 11.25 |
2012 | 77.7302894894884 | 87.0435212041815 | 12.8994691218054 | 10.99 |
2013 | 78.7395087288873 | 87.8856053263524 | 12.6909882699166 | 10.95 |
Household debt
The balance sheet position in relation to household debt (Table 3b Liabilities – AF.4 Loans) declined from €170bn in 2012 to €168bn in 2013. The resulting household debt to income ratio, which measures the sustainability of household debt, decreased from 190 per cent in 2012 to 186 per cent in 2013.
Figure 3 charts the movement in these series for the period 2003 to 2013.
Debt | GDI | Debt to Income Ratio | |
2003 | 88.2388309716663 | 70.1116377171504 | 125.854756563591 |
2004 | 109.462393592215 | 75.0097608372684 | 145.930866023811 |
2005 | 140.556610681422 | 82.5237754384609 | 170.322564539278 |
2006 | 169.256676576979 | 88.6507431602707 | 190.925276589032 |
2007 | 194.313755635398 | 96.2950273832582 | 201.790020643559 |
2008 | 202.719281384493 | 102.845852803744 | 197.109825878281 |
2009 | 197.707799798438 | 95.3848051203932 | 207.273893938237 |
2010 | 184.881859554364 | 90.6789122131912 | 203.886278564631 |
2011 | 178.708696910449 | 88.974370098652 | 200.854129916629 |
2012 | 169.63916225702 | 89.2420387175252 | 190.088846797834 |
2013 | 167.73601471685 | 90.184858548521 | 185.991326500341 |
Use of household saving
Household saving peaked at €15.9bn in 2009 and has since fallen back to €11.4bn in 2013. How households have been using their saving is illustrated in Figure 4 below. The line graph is the trend in actual gross household saving while the bar chart illustrates transactions in investment and borrowing by households1.
During the entire period there is a clear link between transactions in loans (Liabilities F.4) and transactions in gross capital formation (GFCF) of households (P.5). The transactions in loans relate predominantly to borrowing to fund investment in property while the capital formation relates to the property investments themselves.
Since 2009 households have not been borrowing, in net terms. At the same time investment in property has fallen to levels that can be financed by the saving of the sector without having recourse to borrowing. In fact the gross capital formation of households fell from a high of €25.6bn in 2006 to €5.2bn in 2013. Repayment of loans or deleveraging, amounting to €6.5bn, continued to be a major use of household saving in 2013 as has disposals of shares that amounted to €4.5bn in 2013. The use of household saving to fund deposits (Table 2a – Assets F.2) and investment in insurance and pension funds (Table 2a – Assets F.6) is also apparent from the graph.
GFCF | Net Capital Transfers | Shares | Loans less deposits | Insurance and Pensions | Gross Saving | |
2003 | 15.0259285343399 | 0.3325632727182 | -0.227122857756939 | -10.0040606305125 | 3.85929179628 | 5.10866417895671 |
2004 | 18.6325947759584 | 0.221358372316506 | -2.26811115475298 | -11.5656247782599 | 6.21509398901206 | 6.45922730986605 |
2005 | 22.7450573687824 | 0.199980009113659 | 2.40365982823255 | -19.9860746333252 | 3.33363745061 | 8.00277528647482 |
2006 | 25.6562745180371 | 0.0517694014764214 | -0.272348022191843 | -16.5813293556452 | 3.70913748491 | 7.21871323153925 |
2007 | 23.0216488485257 | 0.0262080496584824 | -2.03245716290108 | -18.300860826143 | 4.04262366651 | 6.82632784405563 |
2008 | 17.1682076935612 | -0.0347459631138496 | -0.729970765717352 | -3.80140820036876 | 2.94997591611 | 12.1913461946562 |
2009 | 8.67077299969982 | 0.197421689296915 | -0.674950254642624 | 7.27508499032875 | 2.81277415124 | 15.9457487332352 |
2010 | 5.91166720694248 | 0.273938947588133 | -2.18573918624236 | 10.3535327830498 | 3.1185432662 | 12.6922536416739 |
2011 | 5.27305617878056 | 0.32976081650257 | -0.337620971735976 | 7.17540846533804 | 3.1038554093 | 10.4751487117458 |
2012 | 4.95265866058125 | 0.210790866043123 | -4.16534547785755 | 10.263723505438 | 2.95749481860423 | 11.5117492280368 |
2013 | 5.15019256716127 | 0.253515277856901 | -4.54511924878926 | 6.60826299354845 | 2.82640380273655 | 11.4453498196337 |
1It is important to make the distinction between balance sheet measures of household debt i.e. the outstanding stock of loans illustrated in Figure 3 and transactions in loans i.e. increases (+) or decreases (-) included in Figure 4
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