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Households and Non-profit institutions serving households (S.14 & S.15)

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Household saving

Gross disposable income of households (B.6g) and the adjustment for the change in pension entitlements (D.8) together comprise actual gross disposable income of households.  The growth rate of actual disposable income is illustrated by the line graph in Figure 1 below.  The contributions to this trend by the various components of actual gross disposable income are illustrated in the bar charts. The significance of compensation of employees (COE) and net social benefits in explaining both the negative trend at the time of the financial crisis and subsequent recovery in recent years can be seen.

 

COENet property inc , Adj in pension entitlements and other curr transfersGross disposable inc GOSNet Soc benefitsCurrent taxes
20036.410192363971991.511927140782128.138711030487761.93676732496466-0.314851777358927-1.91495223936671
20046.359688690321760.4250468274268977.262762658718421.510549426649050.879113612567293-2.44368906654051
20058.41051797773076-0.72105674974512710.2948587083492.290949462753171.14506314298528-1.73797501196037
20067.5449166983762-0.6277575339609297.642038006381321.833623180329270.802973971487825-2.43144217006294
20077.33829286801711-1.689408314335298.8484261972592.958390823378860.75776192120254-1.16747778380854
20083.21415650471894-0.7398509238486447.024846902033520.1028435575315032.390911345847411.59589495685367
2009-7.684175417112730.370762082056541-7.51521531879331-6.302356869129213.991966741771821.58931748588056
2010-5.743880798002740.350177893025354-5.08306131111833-1.261641326560030.736681686496710.597948347260889
20110.166266638552083-1.17887038144537-1.929829756709151.13032802023139-0.412094210647332-1.66788926582597
20120.005172899135231032.300664390629640.307926590378111-1.282975291135860.690751859022333-1.40610260905967
20132.71642058632904-0.3537587295586591.082050231170530.608678074529702-1.59549554832167-0.303063661386044

 

In overall terms household actual gross disposable income increased from €89.2bn in 2012 to €90.2bn in 2013.  Household final expenditure on goods and services also increased from €77.7bn in 2012 to €78.7bn in 2013. As a result the gross saving of households (B.8g) was practically unchanged from €11.5bn in 2012 to €11.4bn in 2013. Expressed as a percentage of actual gross disposable income the corresponding gross saving ratio was 12.9 per cent in 2012 and 12.7 per cent in 2013.

 

Figure 2 shows actual gross disposable income, final expenditure on goods and services and the saving ratio for the household sector for the period 2003 - 2013. Also included in Figure 2 is the EU saving ratio. Similar to the recent trend in Irish saving, the EU saving ratio of 11 per cent is unchanged between 2012 and 2013.

 

 

PCEGDISaving RatioEU Saving Ratio
200365.002973538193767.65463771715047.2864710414645612.01
200468.550533527402372.77276083726848.6111823818225112.2
200574.521000151986180.04277543846099.6975389746226511.58
200681.432029928731586.02495756389968.1428682650619411.04
200789.468699539202593.25073162943627.0889723276016810.9
200890.654506609087999.799967858789211.853998836414311.15
200979.43905638715892.862788050698516.717283966884113.07
201077.986658571517388.444760088140313.996918723323111.86
201178.499221386906286.866307738059411.773220423062611.25
201277.730289489488487.043521204181512.899469121805410.99
201378.739508728887387.885605326352412.690988269916610.95

 

 

Household debt

The balance sheet position in relation to household debt (Table 3b Liabilities – AF.4 Loans) declined from €170bn in 2012 to €168bn in 2013. The resulting household debt to income ratio, which measures the sustainability of household debt, decreased from 190 per cent in 2012 to 186 per cent in 2013. 

Figure 3 charts the movement in these series for the period 2003 to 2013.

 

DebtGDIDebt to Income Ratio
200388.238830971666370.1116377171504125.854756563591
2004109.46239359221575.0097608372684145.930866023811
2005140.55661068142282.5237754384609170.322564539278
2006169.25667657697988.6507431602707190.925276589032
2007194.31375563539896.2950273832582201.790020643559
2008202.719281384493102.845852803744197.109825878281
2009197.70779979843895.3848051203932207.273893938237
2010184.88185955436490.6789122131912203.886278564631
2011178.70869691044988.974370098652200.854129916629
2012169.6391622570289.2420387175252190.088846797834
2013167.7360147168590.184858548521185.991326500341

 

Use of household saving

Household saving peaked at €15.9bn in 2009 and has since fallen back to €11.4bn in 2013.  How households have been using their saving is illustrated in Figure 4 below. The line graph is the trend in actual gross household saving while the bar chart illustrates transactions in investment and borrowing by households1.

During the entire period there is a clear link between transactions in loans (Liabilities F.4) and transactions in gross capital formation (GFCF) of households (P.5). The transactions in loans relate predominantly to borrowing to fund investment in property while the capital formation relates to the property investments themselves.

Since 2009 households have not been borrowing, in net terms.  At the same time investment in property has fallen to levels that can be financed by the saving of the sector without having recourse to borrowing. In fact the gross capital formation of households fell from a high of €25.6bn in 2006 to €5.2bn in 2013. Repayment of loans or deleveraging, amounting to €6.5bn, continued to be a major use of household saving in 2013 as has disposals of shares that amounted to €4.5bn in 2013. The use of household saving to fund deposits (Table 2a – Assets F.2) and investment in insurance and pension funds (Table 2a – Assets F.6) is also apparent from the graph. 

 

 

GFCFNet Capital TransfersShares Loans less depositsInsurance and PensionsGross Saving
200315.02592853433990.3325632727182-0.227122857756939-10.00406063051253.859291796285.10866417895671
200418.63259477595840.221358372316506-2.26811115475298-11.56562477825996.215093989012066.45922730986605
200522.74505736878240.1999800091136592.40365982823255-19.98607463332523.333637450618.00277528647482
200625.65627451803710.0517694014764214-0.272348022191843-16.58132935564523.709137484917.21871323153925
200723.02164884852570.0262080496584824-2.03245716290108-18.3008608261434.042623666516.82632784405563
200817.1682076935612-0.0347459631138496-0.729970765717352-3.801408200368762.9499759161112.1913461946562
20098.670772999699820.197421689296915-0.6749502546426247.275084990328752.8127741512415.9457487332352
20105.911667206942480.273938947588133-2.1857391862423610.35353278304983.118543266212.6922536416739
20115.273056178780560.32976081650257-0.3376209717359767.175408465338043.103855409310.4751487117458
20124.952658660581250.210790866043123-4.1653454778575510.2637235054382.9574948186042311.5117492280368
20135.150192567161270.253515277856901-4.545119248789266.608262993548452.8264038027365511.4453498196337


1It is important to make the distinction between balance sheet measures of household debt i.e. the outstanding stock of loans illustrated in Figure 3 and transactions in loans i.e. increases (+) or decreases (-) included in Figure 4

 

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