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Ultimate Investment

Ultimate Investment

In this chapter, Irish foreign direct investment (FDI) is analysed by geography and sector on both the immediate and ultimate investment basis

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Analysis of FDI

In this chapter, Irish foreign direct investment (FDI) is analysed by geography and sector on both the immediate and ultimate investment basis. The immediate investor with respect to FDI refers to the foreign firm that is investing directly into the domestic firm. The ultimate investor or ultimate controlling parent is the firm that has the final controlling power over the immediate investor. The purpose of analysing FDI on an immediate basis is to see where investment is coming from or going to. This reflects the Benchmark Definition of FDI. The purpose of analysing FDI on an ultimate basis is to see where an investment ultimately comes from or where the profits from said investment ultimately accrue.  

Inward FDI Positions
United States426.39832942817
Bermuda161.32483405823
Luxembourg148.52483960969
Netherlands103.49023556817
Switzerland89.89799952401
Cayman Islands56.03950017679

Source publication: Foreign Direct Investment Annual 2021

Get the data: PXStat BPA34

 

Inward FDI Positions

In Figure 2.1, the United States, Bermuda and Luxembourg are shown to be Ireland’s top three partner countries for inward FDI investments in 2021,with the US holding €426.4 billion in FDI positions in Ireland. In Figure 2.2 however, when we analyse FDI on an ultimate investment basis, the US has more than double the FDI positions in Ireland than it had on the immediate basis in Figure 2.1. This means that a portion of the investment had an origin in the US, but entered Ireland from a different country. It is important to note the differences when viewing investment using the two disparate presentations: immediate partner country investment and ultimate controlling parent investment. Notably, significant portions of investment from Bermuda and Luxembourg are evident when viewed by immediate investor, but they are much smaller when analysed by the geography of the ultimate controlling parent presentation. Figures for the Netherlands in Figure 2.2 are suppressed for confidentiality purposes.

Inward FDI Positions
United States924.28001047123
Ireland70.62344133736
Bermuda38.767544872
Japan29.20192412027
France19.41185268504
China19.20253409839
United Kingdom14.45478610365
Germany 14.128593746

Figure 2.3 describes investment from the United States on an ultimate investment basis. The share of Irish FDI by US investments has risen steadily over the period shown, while their FDI positions have grown significantly following a large increase in 2015 relating to the financing of intellectual property in Ireland.

US FDI (left axis)US FDI as a % of Total (right axis)
2014197.9805625255.9195376399144
2015560.0380571868.4994490562763
2016522.8826114165.56351050142
2017653.3239633474.0586689118506
2018660.68235448170.3634433436647
2019762.1352470416968.6670192847725
2020838.5245441325574.4164487160588
2021924.2800104712375.9474125284495

Figure 2.4 shows that Luxembourg receives the largest amount of FDI from Ireland on an immediate investor partner country basis. The figures for Singapore and the Cayman Islands are suppressed for confidentiality purposes.

FDI Outward
Luxembourg529.21708578075
United States284.31967993367
United Kingdom91.73056502077
Netherlands84.5034620662
Isle of man78.78775510872
Jersey 16.400684211
Bermuda10.894544276

Source publication: Foreign Direct Investment Annual 2021

Get the data: PXStat BPA34

 

Outward FDI Positions

Figure 2.5 shows Irish FDI outward on the ultimate basis. Irish FDI outward on an ultimate basis is predominantly dominated by the Redomiciled PLCs, which are firms that have headquartered in Ireland legally, but have substantial investments abroad and a significant portion of their operations abroad. The Luxembourg, Netherlands and Isle of Man presence in Irish FDI outward is dramatically decreased when we analyse it on an ultimate basis. It is redacted in Figure 2.5 for confidentiality purposes. Instead, Irish outward FDI is shown (which includes native Irish investment as well as investment owned by the Redomiciled PLCs) as well as outward FDI ultimately owned by United States investors.

Outward FDI Positions
Ireland945.17873566887
United States301.11101667098
Other36.18121131312

Figure 2.6 shows Irish FDI income inflows on an immediate basis. These are profits earned on Irish investment abroad. Investments in Luxembourg, the United States and the Netherlands return the largest amount of FDI profits on an immediate investor partner country basis. Figures for the Cayman Islands, Isle of Man, Singapore and Malta are suppressed for confidentiality purposes.

FDI Income Inflows
Luxembourg15.819
United States6.528
Netherlands3.391
United Kingdom3.284
Germany0.591
France0.308
Australia0.27

Source publication: Foreign Direct Investment Annual 2021

Get the data: PXStat BPA37

Figure 2.7 shows Irish FDI income inflows on an ultimate basis. Profits coming into Ireland on FDI are dominated by the Redomiciled PLCs; they account for the majority of the FDI profit inflows. The increase in 2021 in US-ultimately controlled FDI inflows is due to an increase in flows going through Ireland.

IrelandUnited StatesOther
201411.5734.9273.349
201512.858-0.3353.082
201615.3450.7132.327
201716.4141.9462.462
201819.3821.5442.267
201919.8150.4732.274
202018.351.6672.303
202123.8369.6821.251

For Irish FDI income outflows, shown in Figure 2.8, the US, Switzerland and the Netherlands received the largest amounts of profits on Irish investments on an immediate partner country basis in 2021. The figure for Jersey is suppressed for confidentiality purposes.

FDI Income Outflows
United States62.33
Switzerland17.453
Netherlands17.354
Luxembourg10.164
Bermuda5.43
Cayman Islands3.379
France1.743
Italy1.724
Belgium1.615

Source publication: Foreign Direct Investment Annual 2021

Get the data: PXStat BPA34

Figure 2.9 shows Irish FDI profit outflows on an ultimate controlling parent basis. This graph illustrates the significant amounts of profits accruing to the United States on their investments in Ireland. In 2021, the US accrued €116.8 billion in FDI income from its investments in Ireland. The differences between Figures 2.8 and 2.9 show that while these investments have origin in the US, they are going through affiliates and subsidiaries in other highly globalised countries on their way back to the US.

FDI Income Outflow
United States116.849
United Kingdom2.885
Ireland2.357
France1.937
Japan1.565
Germany1.17
Italy1.144

Figure 2.10 shows FDI income outflows to the United States over time and as a proportion of total FDI income outflows on an ultimate controlling parent basis. This graph shows a big increase in 2015 for the total amount of income accruing to the United States from investments in Ireland.

FDI Income Outflows to US (left axis)As % of Total FDI Income Outflows (right axis)
201435.2577.5338729544255
201557.35482.4845756691067
201648.57979.5646619496855
201760.14282.8060030290514
201870.4582.7441215851166
201974.28880.9872667015524
202088.23884.8222096186567
2021116.84989.7754250635771

Figure 2.11 describes the distribution of FDI income outflows from Ireland. It shows that most of the profits made on FDI in Ireland are accruing to a small number of large firms; this can be seen by the high concentration of FDI income at the top of the distribution i.e., €88.6 billion in income outflows accruing to the top 25 firms in the distribution.

FDI Income
Top 2588.564
26-508.762
51-753.778
76-1002.404
101+-9.809

Figure 2.12 shows a time series of FDI income outflows by sector. The graph illustrates that the manufacturing sector receives the highest amount of income on its FDI investments in Ireland.

AdministrativeFinancial & Insurance ActivitiesInformation & CommunicationManufacturingProfessional, Scientific, and Technical
20144.08110.1287.87719.7230
20154.79510.18.62542.9561.495
20164.74910.6479.15333.7421.473
20174.52110.86313.63441.5241.346
20184.1788.70717.01550.0353.341
20193.4727.30321.18551.9915.628
20201.6474.98227.95462.9654.967
20211.31711.72426.69486.662.428

The Profitability of FDI

The profitability of FDI is measured, as with conventional investment, as the rate of return on the investment. The definition used in this section for the return on FDI is

Return =  FDI Income/ FDI Positions

where the equity income return is expressed as a percentage of the total FDI position.1

This measure, when examined across geography and industrial sectors, can give an indication of which investors are making the most profitable foreign direct investments. It should be noted, however, that many factors (structural, cyclical, firm specific) should be considered when drawing inference from these results.

Where country breakdowns are provided, this analysis provides the return data for countries from which the largest amounts of investment into Ireland arrive. Correspondingly, it shows the country which receives the most FDI from Ireland, the United States.

Figure 2.13 illustrates that the FDI return on investment in Ireland is higher than the Irish return on investments abroad

Inward FDI ROIOutward FDI ROI
20149.664014264816493.07491129917088
20158.504851821432991.86767654643599
20167.781615553720642.27444219507224
20178.233099388501162.53028572286456
20189.067722563700752.77995918350015
20198.264528335886122.27982151847322
20209.218982630272952.28776618012746
202110.56812276713222.71228070175439

Source publication: Foreign Direct Investment Annual 2021

Get the data: PXStat BPA34PXStat BPA37

Figure 2.14 shows FDI returns by immediate partner country of investment. The increase in 2015 for Swiss returns on FDI in Ireland is due to income increasing from €3 to €6 billion, while positions only increased from €10 to €12 billion.

United StatesLuxembourgSwitzerlandBermudaUnited KingdomFrance
201418.958824084.9426614928.1422729624.260288734.36833159.65726409
20150.745309933.7626871648.9787847721.717381468.1359082811.65514842
20161.20548216.1008941412.7357963226.695383825.5373920610.63411102
20174.930234324.9198541311.2794127531.338618377.4368825310.99082865
20183.69354478420317.7776323911392918.61924340665111.14574345450587.8794445158730811.3385290790626
20195.7949269663724414.290735242220915.00786878958973.062529519129318.5614783770773511.4531982542675
20205.590990613765295.4885742034670127.87994256710876.356493441563073.827799143824458.1853936930661
202114.47716735684657.6805425127565618.98091823729383.32858687959744.635044624964366.55465781411023

Source publication: Foreign Direct Investment Annual 2021

Get the data: PXStat BPA34PXStat BPA37

As shown in Figure 2.9, most of Irish FDI income outflows are accrued by the United States. Figure 2.15 illustrates the return on investment for the US. The rate of return on immediate investment surpassed the rate of return on ultimate investment for the US due to corporate restructuring and an increase in flows going through Ireland. The dip that occurs in 2015 for returns on income on an ultimate investor country basis stems from an increase in the denominator of that figure which is the US FDI positions, which experienced a large increase that year.

Immediate InvestmentUltimate Controlling Parent
20141.1336537689680717.8047781819183
20151.3176839542352410.241089737508
20161.034434534049789.29061302478626
20176.894455205643869.2055401875258
20183.693544784203110.663218038469
20195.794926966372449.74735131177266
20205.5909906137652910.5230074202875
202114.617787101461912.6421645687681

 

1  This differs from the definition prescribed in BD4 by including FDI income on debt.