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Ultimate Investment

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In this chapter, Irish Foreign direct investment is analysed by geography and sector on both the immediate and ultimate investment basis. The immediate investor with respect to FDI, refers to the foreign firm that is investing directly into the domestic firm. The ultimate investor or ultimate controlling parent is the firm that has the final controlling power over the immediate investor. The purpose of analysing FDI on an immediate basis is to see where investment is coming from or going to, this reflects the Benchmark Definition of FDI. The purpose of analysing FDI on an ultimate basis is to see where an investment ultimately comes from or where the profits from said investment ultimately accrue.  

Inward FDI Positions
United States221.54930054
Bermuda176.1221192
Netherlands89.921395714
Switzerland87.552079628
Luxembourg69.234065383
United Kingdom41.060055473

Source publication: Foreign Direct Investment Annual 2019

Get the data: PXStat BPA34

In Figure 2.1, the United States, Bermuda and Netherlands are shown to be Ireland’s top three partner countries for inward FDI investments. With the United States having € 221.5 billion in FDI positions in Ireland. In Figure 2.2 however, when we analyse FDI on an ultimate investment basis, the United States has more than double the FDI positions in Ireland that it had on the immediate basis in Figure 2.1. This means that a portion of the investment had an origin in the US but entered Ireland from a different country. It is important to note the differences when viewing investment using the two disparate presentations: immediate partner country investment and ultimate controlling parent investment (UCP).  Notably, significant portions of investment from Netherlands and Bermuda are evident when viewed by immediate investor, but they are much smaller when analysed by the geography of the ultimate controlling parent (UCP) presentation.

Inward FDI Positions
United States733.99500168
Bermuda34.126936049
Canada19.218064292
United Kingdom16.610122379
France15.08011182
Germany14.386253835
Italy6.301105148
Netherlands5.92877958

Figure 2.3 describes investment from the United States on an ultimate investment basis. The share of Irish FDI by US investments has risen steadily over the period shown, while their FDI positions have grown significantly following a large increase in 2015 relating to the financing of intellectual property in Ireland.

Inward FDI from Ultimate Investors in the US (left axis)As a % of Total Inward FDI (right axis)
2013172.3040402957.2947321348303
2014197.9805625255.9195376399144
2015560.0380571868.4994490562763
2016522.8826114165.56351050142
2017653.3239633474.0586689118506
2018663.8808723172.4880142931923
2019733.9950016871.5542138765299

Figure 2.4 shows that Luxembourg receives the largest amount of FDI from Ireland on an immediate investor partner country basis.

FDI Outward
Luxembourg420.52505006
United States124.69046963
United Kingdom96.486428646
Netherlands 59.131729728
Bermuda46.549498035
Switzerland 14.273435905
Spain6.802123453

Source publication: Foreign Direct Investment Annual 2019

Get the data: PXStat BPA34

Figure 2.5 shows Irish FDI outward on the ultimate basis. Irish FDI outward on an ultimate basis predominantly comes from the Redomiciled PLCs which are firms that have headquartered in Ireland legally but have substantial investments abroad and a significant portion of their operations abroad. The Luxembourg. Dutch, Swiss or Bermudian presence in Irish FDI outward is dramatically decreased when we analyse it on an ultimate basis, it is redacted in Figure 2.5 for confidentiality purposes. Instead, Irish Outward FDI (which includes native Irish investment as well as investment owned by the Redomiciled PLCs) and Outward FDI ultimately owned by United States investors is shown. For a breakdown of Irish investment abroad between native Irish firms and the Redomiciled PLCs, see Figure 6.6.

Outward FDI Positions
Ireland694.04251387
United States218.58854158
Other54.00955593

Figure 2.6 shows Irish FDI income inflows on an immediate basis, this is income earned on Irish investment abroad. Investments in Luxembourg, Netherlands and the United Kingdom return the largest amount of FDI income on an immediate investor partner country basis.

FDI Income Inflows
Luxembourg11.198
Netherlands6.075
United Kingdom1.734
United States1.501
Cayman Islands1.199
France0.273
Germany0.117

Source publication: Foreign Direct Investment Annual 2019

Get the data: PXStat BPA37

Figure 2.7 shows Irish FDI income inflows on an ultimate basis. Income coming into Ireland from FDI is dominated by the Redomiciled PLCs; they account for the majority of the FDI income inflows.

IrelandUnited StatesOther
201311.1774.7882.802
201411.5734.9273.349
201512.858-0.3353.082
201615.3450.7132.327
201716.4141.9462.462
201818.9660.3132.174
201919.074-0.6612.298

For Irish FDI income outflows, shown in Figure 2.8, Luxembourg, Switzerland, and the United States receive the largest amounts of income from their investments in Ireland on an immediate partner country basis.

FDI Income Outflows
Switzerland15.524
Luxembourg15.503
United States11.69
Bermuda8.137
Netherlands7.334
Cayman Islands4.065
United Kingdom3.949
Japan2.871
Belgium2.598

Source publication: Foreign Direct Investment Annual 2019

Get the data: PXStat BPA34

Figure 2.9 shows Irish FDI profit outflows on an ultimate controlling parent basis. This graph illustrates the significant amounts of profits accruing to the United States on their investments in Ireland. In 2019, the United States accrued €74.5 billion in FDI income from its investments in Ireland. The differences between Figure 2.8 and 2.9 show that while these investments have origin in the United States they are going through affiliates and subsidiaries in other highly globalised countries on their way back to the United States.

FDI Income Outflow
United States 74.51
Ireland 4.351
Japan3.451
France1.737
Germany1.554
Italy1.542
United Kingdom0.82

Figure 2.10 shows FDI income outflows to the United States over time and as a proportion of total FDI income outflows on an ultimate controlling parent basis. This graph shows a big increase in 2015 for the total amount of income accruing to the United States from investments in Ireland.

FDI Income Outflows to US (left axis)As % of Total FDI Income Outflows (right axis)
201333.60776.8704682174798
201435.2577.5338729544255
201557.35482.4845756691067
201648.57979.5646619496855
201760.14282.8060030290514
201865.63982.4931820181226
201974.5181.1797263139545

Figure 2.11 describes the distribution of FDI income outflows from Ireland. It shows that most of the profits made on FDI in Ireland are accruing to a small number of large firms; this can be seen by the high concentration of FDI income at the top of the distribution i.e. €74.9 billion in income outflows accruing to the top 25 firms in the distribution.

FDI Income
Top 2574.942099004
26-5012.787970432
51-756.000574426
76-1003.511136236
101+-5.457395178

Figure 2.12 shows a time series of FDI income outflows by sector. The graph illustrates that the Manufacturing sector receives the highest amount of income on its FDI investments in Ireland.

Administration and Support ServicesFinancial and Insurance ActivitiesInformation & CommunicationManufacturingProfessional, Scientific and Technical Activities
20132.8839.667.14820.745
20144.08110.1287.87719.723
20154.79510.18.62542.9561.495
20164.74910.6479.15333.7421.473
20174.52110.86313.63441.5241.346
20183.9438.72116.23645.8492.92
20194.3457.82320.3951.4655.602

The Profitability of FDI

The profitability of FDI is measured, as with conventional investment, as the rate of return on the investment. The definition used in this section for the return on FDI is

Return =    FDI Income/ FDI Positions

where the equity income return is expressed as a percentage of the total FDI position.1

This measure, when examined across geography and industrial sectors, can give an indication of which investors are making the most profitable foreign direct investments. It should be noted, however, that many factors (structural, cyclical, firm specific) should be considered when drawing inference from these results.

Where country breakdowns are provided, this analysis provides the return data for countries from which the largest amounts of investment into Ireland arrive. Correspondingly, it shows the country which receives the most FDI from Ireland, the United States.

Inward FDI ROIOutward FDI ROI
201314.16174189986134.83987459963879
20149.664014264816493.07491129917088
20158.504851821432991.86767654643599
20167.781615553720642.27444219507224
20178.233099388501162.53028572286456
20188.68800424524132.53780785615835
20198.947652165765932.14257499179891

Source publication: Foreign Direct Investment Annual 2019

Get the data: PXStat BPA34PXStat BPA37

Figure 2.13 illustrates that the FDI return on investment in Ireland is higher than the Irish return on investments abroad.

United StatesLuxembourgSwitzerlandBermudaUnited KingdomFranceBelgiumNetherlands
201315.981674544.9023596743.4800150755.324003423.756341418.6871602534.4877790618.44398441
201418.958824084.9426614928.1422729624.260288734.36833159.6572640917.319744447.3775156
20150.745309933.7626871648.9787847721.717381468.1359082811.6551484214.7511393713.70738992
20161.20548216.1008941412.7357963226.695383825.5373920610.6341110213.5573918214.58742526
20174.930234324.9198541311.2794127531.338618377.4368825310.9908286529.476154858.72877962
20183.645981977.4298554617.587982089.989894267.9782696711.3221361916.73968434-62.6187651
20195.2766632422.3918501217.730767554.620219019.6167240510.9670885-80.46824328.15623962

Source publication: Foreign Direct Investment Annual 2019

Get the data: PXStat BPA34PXStat BPA37

Figure 2.14 shows FDI returns by immediate partner country of investment. The most notable trend here being the significant dip that occurred with the returns on FDI in Ireland from the Netherlands in 2018. This decrease in the return on FDI for the Netherlands was caused by a €106 billion decrease that occurred in their FDI positions in Ireland on an immediate partner country basis; however, on an ultimate basis, there is no simultaneous large decrease. As seen in Figure 2.2, Dutch FDI positions in Ireland on an ultimate basis are €5.9 billion; Dutch positions on an ultimate basis have remained consistent around this level for a number of years. The increase in 2015 for Swiss returns on FDI in Ireland is due to income increasing from €3 to €6 billion (100% increase) while positions only increased from €10 to €12 billion (20%).

Immediate InvestmentUltimate Controlling Parent
20131.404202131271619.5044758924033
20141.1336537689680717.8047781819183
20151.3176839542352410.241089737508
20161.034434534049789.29061302478626
20176.894455205643869.2055401875258
20185.368119972491999.88716541442239
20193.910092526021610.1512952853164

As shown in Figure 2.9, most of Irish FDI income outflows are accrued by the United States. Figure 2.15 illustrates the return on investment for the United States. The dip that occurs in 2015 for returns on income on an ultimate investor country basis stems from an increase in the denominator of that figure which is the United States FDI positions which experienced a large increase that year.

The persistent increase on the rate of return from 2017 on was caused by a general increase in income outflows on an immediate basis to the United States. This change coincides with tax reforms brought in by the United States for the repatriation of corporate profits.

 


Footnotes

1This differs from the definition prescribed in BD4 by including FDI income on debt. 


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