The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 4.1% between January 2023 and January 2024, down from an annual increase of 4.6% in the 12 months to December 2023.
This is only the third time since September 2021 that the annual growth in the CPI has been below 5% while also being the third consecutive month where the inflation rate was lower than 5%.
Excluding energy and unprocessed food, the CPI rose by 5.3% in the 12 months to January 2024.
The divisions with the largest increases in the 12 months to January 2024 were Recreation & Culture (+9.3%) and Restaurants & Hotels (+7.2%).
The only division to record a decline when compared to January 2023 was Clothing & Footwear (-1.3%).
Consumer prices fell by 1.3% in the month between December 2023 and January 2024.
The divisions with the largest decreases in the month were Clothing & Footwear (-10.1%) and Transport (-4.1%).
Alcoholic Beverages & Tobacco (+2.4%) was the only division that rose when compared with December 2023.
This is an audio file with a 26-second quote from CSO statistician with the Prices Division, Anthony Dawson, about the updating of the basket of goods and services for the CPI.
Media outlets have permission to use the clip as long as they credit the CSO.
Figure 1 shows the development of the CPI and HICP over recent months. It also shows the recent divergence of the CPI and HICP. This divergence is primarily due to the fact that the CPI includes mortgage interest whereas the HICP does not include mortgage interest.
CPI and HICP | |||||||
CPI | HICP | ||||||
% monthly change | % annual change | % monthly change | % annual change | ||||
Sep 2023 | 0.1 | 6.4 | 0.1 | 5.0 | |||
Oct 2023 | 0.3 | 5.1 | 0.2 | 3.6 | |||
Nov 2023 | -0.8 | 3.9 | -0.9 | 2.5 | |||
Dec 2023 | 0.5 | 4.6 | 0.4 | 3.2 | |||
Jan 2024 | -1.3 | 4.1 | -1.4 | 2.7 |
X-axis label | CPI | HICP |
---|---|---|
Jan 2023 | 7.8 | 7.5 |
Feb 2023 | 8.5 | 8.1 |
Mar 2023 | 7.7 | 7 |
Apr 2023 | 7.2 | 6.3 |
May 2023 | 6.6 | 5.4 |
Jun 2023 | 6.1 | 4.8 |
Jul 2023 | 5.8 | 4.6 |
Aug 2023 | 6.3 | 4.9 |
Sep 2023 | 6.4 | 5 |
Oct 2023 | 5.1 | 3.6 |
Nov 2023 | 3.9 | 2.5 |
Dec 2023 | 4.6 | 3.2 |
Jan 2024 | 4.1 | 2.7 |
Prices on average, as measured by the CPI, were 4.1% higher in January 2024 compared with January 2023.
The most notable changes in the year were increases in Recreation & Culture (+9.3%), Restaurants & Hotels (+7.2%), Alcoholic Beverages & Tobacco (+4.7%) and Food & Non-Alcoholic Beverages (+4.6%). There was a decrease in Clothing & Footwear (-1.3%).
Consumer Prices in January, as measured by the CPI, decreased by 1.3% in the month. During January of last year, prices fell by 0.8% in the month. The most significant monthly price changes were decreases in Clothing & Footwear (-10.1%), Transport (-4.1%) and Recreation & Culture (-2.6%). The only division to show an increase was Alcoholic Beverages & Tobacco (+2.4%).
Table 3 shows the contribution of each 2-digit COICOP1 division to the overall change in the CPI. A detailed breakdown of the individual components of each of the 12 COICOP divisions is presented in Tables 4 to 15.
The divisions which caused the largest upward percentage point (pp) contributions to the CPI in the year were Restaurants & Hotels (+1.12 pp), Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas & Other Fuels (+0.80 pp), Recreation & Culture (+0.65 pp) and Food & Non-Alcoholic Beverages (+0.49 pp).
The only division to cause a downward contribution to the CPI in the year was Clothing & Footwear (-0.12 pp).
The main factors contributing to the annual change were as follows:
1Classification of Individual Consumption by Purpose Adapted to the Needs of Harmonised Indices of Consumer Prices (2000).
The divisions which caused the largest downward percentage point contributions to the CPI in the month were Clothing & Footwear (-0.55 pp) and Transport (-0.50 pp). The only division to cause an upward percentage point contribution to the CPI in the month was Alcoholic Beverages & Tobacco (+0.11 pp).
The main factors contributing to the monthly change were as follows:
Tables 4 to 15 detail all COICOP1 sub-indices of the CPI.
Table 2 and table 17 detail selected consumer price index sub-indices. The sub index for Services rose by 6.1% in the year to January, while Goods increased by 1.5%. Services, excluding mortgage interest repayments, increased by 4.4% in the year since January 2023.
The CPI excluding tobacco decreased by 1.3% in the month of January and rose by 4.0% in the year. The CPI excluding mortgage interest fell by 1.3% in the month and increased by 3.1% in the year.
1Classification of Individual Consumption by Purpose Adapted to the Needs of Harmonised Indices of Consumer Prices (2000).
Prices on average, as measured by the EU Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), increased by 2.7% compared with January 2023.
Table 19 details the COICOP sub-indices for the HICP. The most notable changes in the year were increases in Recreation & Culture (+9.5%), Restaurants & Hotels (+7.2%), Alcoholic Beverages & Tobacco (+4.7%) and Food & Non-Alcoholic Beverages (+4.6%). There were decreases in Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas & Other Fuels (-1.9%), Clothing & Footwear (-1.3%) and Health (-0.4%).
The HICP decreased by 1.4% in the month. This compares to a decrease of 1.0% recorded in January of last year.
The most significant monthly price changes were decreases in Clothing & Footwear (-10.1%), Transport (-4.5%), Recreation & Culture (-2.6%) and Furnishings, Household Equipment & Routine Household Maintenance (-1.1%). The only division that showed an increase was Alcoholic Beverages & Tobacco (+2.3%).
National Average Prices for selected goods and services for January 2024 are detailed in Table 20.
Looking at the National Average Prices of some staple items:
To calculate the percentage change in the CPI between two periods of time
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Statistician's Comment
The Central Statistics Office (CSO) has today (15 February 2024) published the Consumer Price Index (CPI) January 2024.
Commenting on annual changes shown in the release, Anthony Dawson, Statistician in the Prices Division, said: “Today's publication of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) shows that prices for consumer goods and services in January 2024 rose by 4.1% on average when compared with January 2023. This is only the third time since September 2021 that the annual growth in the CPI was below 5%, while also being the third consecutive month where the inflation rate was lower than 5%.
It is worth noting that today’s release uses the new baseline period of December 2023=100, as will all CPI releases until the next rebase. The items in the national basket of goods and services have also been updated as have the weights applied to each item. Further information about these changes is available in the Methodology Section of this release, as well as an accompanying Press Release. An FAQ document is also available.
Annual Changes
The most significant growth in the 12 months to January 2024 were seen in Recreation & Culture (+9.3%) and Restaurants & Hotels (+7.2%). The annual change in Recreation & Culture costs reflects a rise in prices for package holidays (+41.8%). Clothing & Footwear was the only division to show a decrease (-1.3%) when compared with January 2023.
Monthly Changes
Consumer prices in January 2024 fell by 1.3% in the month. During January 2023, prices were down by 0.8% in the month. In January 2024, the most significant monthly price changes were decreases in Clothing & Footwear (-10.1%) and Transport (-4.1%). Clothing & Footwear fell due to sales.
Alcoholic Beverages & Tobacco (+2.4%) was the only division to show an increase when compared with December 2023.
It should be noted that these figures relate to the CPI. The flash estimate published on 31 January 2024 related to the EU Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP). (See Background Notes for differences between CPI and HICP)."
National Average Prices
The National Average Prices for selected goods and services for January are also published today. The National Average Prices are compiled together with the CPI. Commenting on the National Average Prices, Anthony Dawson said: “There were price increases in January 2024 for a 2.5kg Bag of Potatoes (+38c) and Spaghetti per 500g (+12c), while there were decreases in the price of two litres of full fat milk (-8c) and a pound of butter (-7c) when compared with January 2023.” The comprehensive list of items included in the National Average Prices and their monthly prices are available at: https://data.cso.ie/table/CPM12.