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For more information on this release:
E-mail: nat_acc@cso.ie Michael Connolly (+353) 1 498 4006 Mary Brew (+353) 1 498 4365
For general information on CSO statistics:
information@cso.ie (+353) 21 453 5000 On-line ISSN 2009-5600
CSO statistical release, , 11am

Quarterly Institutional Sector Accounts Non-Financial

Quarter 4 2014 and Year 2014 (Preliminary)

  
       Gross Saving by Institutional Sector
    
 Non Financial CorporationsFinancial CorporationsGeneral GovernmentHouseholds and NPISH
 (S.11)(S.12)(S.13)(S.14 & S.15)
Year     €m 
201325,4838,761-7,15311,446
201428,4009,513-2,91012,446
This release is an update to the 2014 Q4 release of the Quarterly Institutional Sector Accounts – Non-Financial which also provided preliminary annual estimates for for 2014. The annual results and the related quarterly estimates for 2014 have been corrected following the detection of a discrepancy in the estimate for contributions of households to occupational pension schemes.  In the course of extending the data sources used in the compilation of these accounts, pension contributions were inadvertently overestimated and consequently both household disposable income and household savings were understated. The overall estimates for the economy are unchanged.The electronic release and the associated CSO Statbank tables have been updated with the recalculated estimates. For household savings the savings ratio for 2014 is now estimated to be 13.4% (previously 11.1%) and Disposable income of households is now €93,071m (previously €90,674m).
The CSO is reviewing the systems of validation and estimation associated with this publication to avoid a recurrence of this nature.

Increased saving for the whole economy

Gross Household Savings Ratio Seasonally adjusted Q1 2013 - Q4 2014
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Preliminary estimates for 2014 indicate that gross saving (B.8g) for the economy as a whole increased by €8,804m to €45,581m compared to €36,777m in 2013 (see Summary Table). In the household sector gross saving increased by €1,000m to €12,446m in 2014.  This change is driven by an increase in gross disposable income of households of €3,005m in 2014 while household consumption expenditure only rose by €1,886m during the year. 

 

The gross saving ratio of households, which expresses saving as a percentage of gross disposable income, increased from 12.7 per cent in 2013 to 13.4 per cent in 2014 (see Background Notes - definitions).

Quarterly household saving increased in the fourth quarter

On a seasonally adjusted basis, the quarterly gross disposable income of households (B.6g) in Q4 2014 increased by €479m to €23,406m compared to €22,927m in Q4 2013.  Household expenditure (P.3) increased by €266m to €20,168m over this same period. Consequently, gross household saving (B.8g) increased by €213m in the quarter. 

  

The derived gross saving ratio, decreased from 13.9 per cent in Q3 2014 to 13.8 per cent in Q4 2014. The seasonally adjusted data series which includes Gross Disposable income, Personal Consumption of Goods and Services and Gross Saving of the Household and NPISH sector is available on our StatBank Database: Click here. The entire unadjusted series for all variables published in this release are also available at the same link. See Background Notes for definitions of the terms used. These estimates are preliminary and will be subject to revision.

 

Increase in net borrowing of Government (S.13)

The gross saving of Government amounted to a deficit of €2,910m in 2014, an improvement of €4,243m on the 2013 deficit of €7,153m.  An increase of €1,806m in taxes paid on production and imports (D.2) and an increase in taxes on income and wealth (D.5) of €2,025m were the main contributors to the change in gross saving.

 

On the capital side of the accounts the improvement in the saving deficit of €4,243m was offset by an increase in gross fixed capital formation (D.5) of €757m.  The net borrowing (B.9) of Government was €7,365m in 2014 compared to €9,968m in 2013. 

Non-financial (S.11) and Financial (S.12) Corporations

The gross saving of non-financial corporations was €28,400m in 2014 – an increase of €2,917m compared with the 2013 figure of €25,483m.

An increase of €3,049m in the gross operating surplus of the non-financial corporations was the main factor in this improvement in saving.  However, net lending of €7,924m by this sector in 2014 has only increased by €862m compared to the 2013 result of €7,062m.  This is explained primarily by the increase in gross fixed capital formation of €3,016m.

 

Financial corporations had gross saving of €9,513m in 2014 an increase of €752m on the previous year.  An increase of €753m in the gross operating surplus (B.2g) of financial corporations was the main reason for the improvement.  Net lending (B.9) of the sector increased from €7,769m in 2013 to €8,376m in 2014.   This increase of €607m mirrors the increase in gross saving.

 

Rest of the World Sector (S.2)

The net borrowing (B.9) by the rest of the world from Ireland amounted to €11,600m in 2014 compared with a net borrowing of €7,737m in 2013.  The net borrowing position reflects the level of gross saving in the Irish economy.

Gross Disposable IncomePCESaving
2013Q122.294886719.42658452.8683015
2013Q222.173594219.51127682.6623175
2013Q322.734814519.85645572.8783588
2013Q422.926874719.90167733.0251973
2014Q122.958424520.16922422.7892003
2014Q223.331364520.17680193.1545625
2014Q323.350181220.10640193.2437793
2014Q423.406031120.16826913.237762
Table 1: Quarterly Accounts by Institutional Sector, Q1 2013 - Q4 2014 Summary
          € million
  Key VariablesQuarter     S.2 Rest of World      S.1 Total Economy          S.IN Not sectorized          S.11 Non-financial corporations     S.12 Financial corporations     S.13 General government     S.14+S.15 Households including NPISH
(a)B.1*gGross domestic productQ1 2013 42,2853,94722,8093,8385,7215,971
   Q2 2013 43,0612,71524,2933,9175,6206,516
   Q3 2013 44,6844,36124,5883,8965,4336,406
   Q4 2013 44,7613,21626,1884,1535,3715,834
   Q1 2014 44,0404,09423,8873,9815,6846,394
   Q2 2014 46,0213,24326,0674,2135,5846,914
   Q3 2014 47,3644,42626,3584,2185,3976,964
   Q4 2014 47,9873,80527,8514,6785,3366,316
           
(b)B.2g/B.3gGross operating surplus / Mixed incomeQ1 2013 20,161-42612,8882,2148734,613
   Q2 2013 21,470-43413,7192,3868734,926
   Q3 2013 21,200-45013,6022,3188734,858
   Q4 2013 23,169-45114,8242,5918735,331
   Q1 2014 20,213-44412,9112,2478614,637
   Q2 2014 22,838-46414,5932,5838615,265
   Q3 2014 23,077-47714,7712,6008615,322
   Q4 2014 24,740-48315,8072,8338615,723
           
(c)D.1_D.4Net Primary IncomeQ1 2013 15,4130-6,0423313,21117,913
   Q2 2013 13,5390-7,763-8043,47418,632
   Q3 2013 16,5970-6,2774283,69918,747
   Q4 2013 17,1620-5,2383122,61119,477
   Q1 2014 16,6240-6,8115903,72519,120
   Q2 2014 15,4830-7,480-1,0313,90220,092
   Q3 2014 17,0010-6,8245063,74619,572
   Q4 2014 19,5030-4,2044343,03320,240
           
(d)B.5gGross national income = (b + c)Q1 2013 35,574-4266,8452,5454,08422,526
   Q2 2013 35,009-4345,9561,5824,34723,558
   Q3 2013 37,797-4507,3252,7454,57323,605
   Q4 2013 40,331-4519,5872,9033,48424,808
   Q1 2014 36,837-4446,1002,8374,58723,757
   Q2 2014 38,321-4647,1131,5514,76325,357
   Q3 2014 40,077-4777,9473,1064,60724,894
   Q4 2014 44,244-48311,6033,2673,89425,964
           
(e)D.5_D.7Net Current TransfersQ1 2013 -8260-490455508-1,299
   Q2 2013 -6840-1,5051811,974-1,334
   Q3 2013 -5290-6104371,100-1,455
   Q4 2013 -6050-16242133328-2,522
   Q1 2014 -8180-3824441070-1,950
   Q2 2014 -5310-13131472544-1,908
   Q3 2014 -3860-9032852313-2,081
   Q4 2014 -5780-1764564272-3,142
           
(f)B.6gGross disposable income = (d + e)Q1 2013 34,748-4266,3552,9994,59221,227
   Q2 2013 34,325-4344,4501,7636,32122,224
   Q3 2013 37,268-4506,7153,1825,67222,149
   Q4 2013 39,726-4517,9633,1166,81222,286
   Q1 2014 36,019-4445,7183,2815,65621,807
   Q2 2014 37,790-4645,8001,6987,30723,449
   Q3 2014 39,691-4777,0443,3916,92022,813
   Q4 2014 43,666-4839,8383,3238,16722,821
           
(g)P.3+D8Use of disposable incomeQ1 2013-26,52000-566-7,229-18,726
   Q2 2013-26,49600-564-7,648-18,284
   Q3 2013-27,09700-582-8,058-18,458
   Q4 2013-29,17700-588-7,616-20,973
   Q1 2014-27,00200-536-7,079-19,386
   Q2 2014-27,15500-543-7,594-19,018
   Q3 2014-27,46800-548-8,194-18,727
   Q4 2014-29,96000-553-8,093-21,314
   
(h)B.8gGross saving=(f+g)Q1 20138,228-4266,3552,433-2,6372,502
   Q2 20137,830-4344,4501,199-1,3273,941
   Q3 201310,170-4506,7152,600-2,3863,691
   Q4 201310,549-4517,9632,529-8041,312
   Q1 20149,018-4445,7182,745-1,4232,421
   Q2 201410,635-4645,8001,155-2874,431
   Q3 201412,223-4777,0442,843-1,2744,086
   Q4 201413,706-4839,8382,770731,507
   
(i) Changes in Capital AccountsQ1 2013-1,693-426-1,359-3311510
   Q2 2013-724-434-367-1219-141
   Q3 2013-1,348-450-1,054-0298-141
   Q4 2013-1,616-451-427-65-376-298
   Q1 2014-2,606-444-1,213-63-586-299
   Q2 2014-2,021-464-721-52-379-405
   Q3 2014-2,451-477-1,691-5381-311
   Q4 2014-4,205-483-2,231-110-654-726
   
(j)K.1Consumption of fixed capitalQ1 20135,699 3,6442147681,073
   Q2 20135,768 3,6952177681,088
   Q3 20136,135 3,9662337681,168
   Q4 20136,056 3,9082297681,151
   Q1 20145,418 3,4652037291,020
   Q2 20145,663 3,6462147291,073
   Q3 20145,849 3,7832227291,114
   Q4 20145,771 3,7262197291,097
   
(k)B.9Net lending(+)/Net borrowing(-)=(h+i)-jQ1 2013-836836-8521,3522,186-3,2891,438
   Q2 2013-1,3361,338-868388981-1,8752,712
   Q3 2013-2,6882,688-9001,6942,367-2,8562,382
   Q4 2013-2,8772,877-9023,6282,235-1,948-136
   Q1 2014-995994-8871,0402,478-2,7381,101
   Q2 2014-2,9522,951-9271,432888-1,3952,953
Q3 2014-3,9233,924-9541,5702,568-1,9222,661
   Q4 2014-3,7303,730-9673,8812,442-1,310-316
Quarterly Accounts by Institutional Sector, Q4 2014 €million
UsesCURRENT ACCOUNTSResources
S.14+S.15 Households including NPISH S.13 General government S.12 Financial corporations S.11 Non-financial corporations      S.IN Not sectorized      S.1 Total economy  S.2 Rest of World S.1+S.2 Sum over sectors S.1+S.2 Sum over sectors  S.2 Rest of World      S.1 Total economy      S.IN Not sectorized S.11 Non-financial corporations S.12 Financial corporations S.13 General government S.14+S.15 Households including NPISH  
  1.2 GENERATION OF INCOME ACCOUNT
        B.1*gGross domestic product  47,9873,80527,8514,6785,3366,316
1,7704,4751,65611,831 19,73213119,863D.1Compensation of employees        
11901903574,5705,235 5,235D.2Taxes on production and imports, paid        
        D.3Subsidies, received1,721 1,721281144001,296
5,7238612,83315,807-48324,740  B.2g/ B.3gGross operating surplus/ Mixed income        
1.3 ALLOCATION OF PRIMARY INCOME ACCOUNT
        B.2g/ B.3gGross operating surplus/ Mixed income  24,740-48315,8072,8338615,723
        D.1Compensation of employees19,86318419,679    19,679
        D.2Taxes on production and imports, received5,236845,152   5,152 
 561   5611,1601,721D.3Subsidies, paid        
2031,86713,5667,660 23,29516,08739,382D.4Property income39,38220,85318,529 3,45514,000309764
1511,8674,9071,390 8,3159,65917,974D.41Interest17,9726,64211,330 23510,794186114
006234,544 5,167**D.42Distributed income of corporations**4,381 1,4542,528122276
001,0151,725 2,740**D.43Reinvested earnings on direct foreign investment**2,443 1,76667800
007,0210 7,02107,021D.44Other investment income7,0226,699323 000322
52001 53 53D.45Rent53 53 00152
25,9643,8943,26711,603-48344,244  B.5gGross national income        
*Suppressed for confidentiality reasons
Quarterly Accounts by Institutional Sector, Q4 2014 €million
UsesCURRENT ACCOUNTSResources
S.14+S.15 Households including NPISH S.13 General government S.12 Financial corporations S.11 Non-financial corporations      S.IN Not sectorized      S.1 Total economy  S.2 Rest of World S.1+S.2 Sum over sectors S.1+S.2 Sum over sectors  S.2 Rest of World      S.1 Total economy      S.IN Not sectorized S.11 Non-financial corporations S.12 Financial corporations S.13 General government S.14+S.15 Households including NPISH
1.5 SECONDARY DISTRIBUTION OF INCOME ACCOUNT
        B.5gGross national income  44,244-48311,6033,2673,89425,964
6,18504871,689 8,361198,380D.5Current taxes on income, wealth, etc.8,380208,360   8,360 
4,178    4,17804,178D.61Social contributions4,17804,178 01,3312,8470
06,3427780 7,121747,195D.62Social benefits other than social transfers in kind7,195777,118    7,118
1,0946621,695173 3,6247274,351D.7Other current transfers4,3511,3013,050 981,686691,197
22,8218,1673,3239,838-48343,666  B.6gGross disposable income        
1.6 USE OF DISPOSABLE INCOME ACCOUNT
        B.6gGross disposable income  43,666-4839,8383,3238,16722,821
21,8678,093   29,960  P.3Final consumption expenditure        
  553  5530553D.8Adjustment for the change in pension entitlements5530553    553
1,507732,7709,838-48313,706  B.8gGross saving        
1.7 EXTERNAL ACCOUNT
      54,931 P.6Exports of goods and services        
        P.7Imports of goods and services 46,894      
      -8,037 B.11External balance of goods & services        
     72,66118,19890,859D.1 to D.8Primary incomes and current transfers90,85922,51968,340     
      -3,716 B.12Current external balance        
Quarterly Accounts by Institutional Sector, Q4 2014 €million
Changes in assets CAPITAL ACCOUNTSChanges in liabilities and net worth
S.14+S.15 Households including NPISH S.13 General government S.12 Financial corporations S.11 Non-financial corporations      S.IN Not sectorized      S.1 Total economy  S.2 Rest of World S.1+S.2 Sum over sectors S.1+S.2 Sum over sectors  S.2 Rest of World      S.1 Total economy      S.IN Not sectorized S.11 Non-financial corporations S.12 Financial corporations S.13 General government S.14+S.15 Households including NPISH
1.8 CHANGE IN NET WORTH DUE TO SAVING AND CAPITAL TRANSFERS ACCOUNT
        B.8g Gross saving   13,706-4839,8382,770731,507
        B.12Current external balance -3,716      
253443022 71814732D.9Capital transfers7320732 3240289119
1,0977292193,726 5,771  P.51CConsumption of fixed capital         
277-8102,5516,414-4837,949-3,7304,219B.10.1Changes in net worth due to saving and capital transfers        
1.9 ACQUISITION OF NON-FINANCIAL ASSETS ACCOUNT
        B.10.1Changes in net worth due to saving and capital transfers4,219-3,7307,949-4836,4142,551-810277
1,6901,2293286,2594839,990 9,990P.5Gross capital formation        
        P.51CConsumption of fixed capital 5,771 5,771 3,7262197291,097
0000 000NPAcquisitions less disposals of non-produced assets        
-316-1,3102,4423,881-9673,730-3,7300B.9Net lending (+) / net borrowing (-)        

Background Notes

Description of institutional sectors

In the sector accounts, institutional sectors are distinguished not in terms of the nature of their production activity (such as agriculture, industry, services etc) but rather in terms primarily of the institutional form of the units that make them up. Thus companies, whether engaged in commercial non-financial or financial business, are grouped in a different sector from households, even though the latter are in many cases also engaged in commercial production, and from government or other non-market producers such as voluntary agencies.

 

Institutional Sectors The classification system is that of the European System of Accounts 2010 (ESA2010). The sectors and sub-sectors distinguished in the present publication are as follows:

 

S.1 Resident Economy is the sum of all the sectors of the domestic economy.

 

S.11 Non-Financial Corporations are corporate bodies producing goods and non-financial services on a commercial basis. They include public limited companies, private companies and other corporate forms of business, whether owned by residents (including the government) or non-residents or both. In particular, therefore, Irish subsidiaries of foreign companies and the Irish branches of foreign companies operating in Ireland on a branch basis are included; while the foreign subsidiaries of Irish companies and the foreign branches of Irish companies operating abroad are excluded (they form part of the Rest of the World sector S.2). The business activities of self-employed persons (quasi-corporations) are in principle to be included here if separate accounts are available for statistical purposes.Under the implementation of ESA2010,entities which operate as holding companies for non-financial corporations are now classified in the financial sector.

 

 

S.12 Financial Corporations are corporate bodies producing financial services on a commercial basis. As with S.11, they can take various legal forms, with a range of ownership arrangements. They include monetary financial institutions, other financial intermediaries, financial auxiliaries and insurance corporations and pension funds.

 

S.13 General Government consists of central and local government . Central government includes the Ireland Strategic Investment Fund (formerly the NPRF), and non-commercial agencies owned and funded by government, but do not include commercial state-owned companies (which are proper to S.11 or S.12 as appropriate).

 

S.14 + S.15 Households (S.14) and Non-Profit Institutions Serving Households (S.15).  S.14 consists of persons in their capacity as holders of financial assets or as borrowers. The business assets and liabilities of unincorporated self-employed persons are also mainly reflected in this sector. S.15 consists of non-profit institutions such as charities and non-commercial agencies not owned by the government, such as some schools and hospitals.

 

S.2 Rest of the World. The figures represent the economy’s transactions with non-residents. The conceptual definition is the same as in the balance of payments (BOP) statistics. In particular, non-residents include foreign subsidiaries of Irish companies, the foreign branches of Irish companies that operate abroad on a branch basis, and the head offices of foreign companies that operate in Ireland on a branch basis.

 

S.1N Not Sectorised. In the non-financial accounts an additional residual sector is used to report taxes and subsidies in the Generation of Income Account (Account 1.2) as it is not possible to allocate these amounts to Institutional Sectors. In addition throughout these accounts S.1N is used to report the amounts that appear as the statistical discrepancy in the National Income and Expenditure GDP accounts, arising from the use of two independent estimates of GDP (from the Income and Expenditure approaches). In the Annual National Accounts NIE tables 3 and 5, the official estimate of GDP is reported as the average of the two measures, and the discrepancy is therefore displayed as half the difference between the two independent estimates (and thus with different signs in the two tables).  The discrepancy is projected forward on a quarterly basis in line with the trends in the Expenditure components and is presented in Table 2 of the Quarterly National Accounts. In the quarterly sector accounts it appears in Gross Domestic Product, the opening item in the Generation of Income Account and is then carried through successive accounts via the balancing item. In the final non-financial account,the full amount of the discrepancy then emerges as the unallocated net lending or borrowing in the economy.

Description of detailed non-financial accounts

Sector accounts present a coherent overview of all economic processes and the roles played by the various sectors. Each economic process is described in a separate account. The accounts describe successively generation of income, primary and secondary income distribution, final consumption, redistribution by means of capital transfers and capital formation. Note that the Production Account (1.1) from the Annual Accounts is not included in these quarterly accounts as the data is not available on a quarterly basis.   The accounts record economic transactions, distinguishing between uses and resources, (e.g. the resources side of the transaction category D.41 Interest records the amounts of interest receivable by the different sectors of the economy and the uses side shows interest payable) with a special item to balance the two sides of each account. By passing on the balancing item from one account to the next a connection is created between successive accounts.

 

The accounts are compiled for the total economy and include accounts for separate domestic sectors and the Rest of the World sector. In this way the sector accounts describe:

  • for each economic process the role of each sector, for instance General Government in income redistribution and Financial Corporations in financing.
  • for each sector all economic transactions and their relation with other domestic sectors and the Rest of the World.

 

The successive accounts are explained in more detail below. 

Current Accounts:

 

1.1    Production Account

This Account is not presented in the Quarterly Non-Financial Accounts as quarterly data is not available.

  

1.2 Generation of Income Account

This account displays the transactions through which Gross Domestic Product at market prices is distributed to labour (compensation of employees), capital (operating surplus) and government (the balance of taxes and subsidies on production). The balancing item for the Household and NPISH sector in this account is called mixed income, because apart from operating surplus it also contains compensation for work by self-employed persons and their family members. B.2g/B.3g Gross Operating Surplus / Gross Mixed Income is the balancing item for the entire account.

 

1.3 Allocation of Primary Income Account

This account records, as resources, the income from direct participation in the production process, as well as property income received in exchange for the use of land, financial resources and other intangible assets. In addition, this account records the taxes on production and imports received by the government. On the uses side, property income is recorded as well as the subsidies paid by the government.

On this account the interest paid and received are recorded excluding imputed bank services (financial intermediation services indirectly measured -FISIM). In the national accounts insurance technical reserves are seen as a liability of insurance enterprises and pension funds to policyholders. Therefore, the receipts from investing these reserves are recorded as payments from insurance enterprises and pension funds to households,under D.44 other investment income. The balancing item of this account for each sector is B.5g Gross National Income.  The Primary Income for the total economy is the National Income.

 

1.4 Memorandum -Entrepreneurial Income Account

This account is not presented in the Quarterly series.

 

1.5 Secondary Distribution of Income Account

The secondary distribution of income account shows how primary income is redistributed by means of current taxes on income and wealth, social contributions (including contributions to pension schemes), social benefits (including pension benefits) and other current transfers. The balancing item of this account is B.6g Gross Disposable Income. For the consuming sectors (Households, NPISH and General Government) this item is passed on to 1.6 Use of Disposable Income Account. For the other sectors the disposable income is generally equal to saving. This is then passed on to the capital account.

1.6 Use of Disposable Income Account

This account shows the element of disposable income that is spent on final consumption and also the element that is saved. As mentioned above final consumption only exists for Households, NPISH and General Government. The net equity of Households in pension funds is seen as a financial asset that belongs to Households. Changes in these reserves need to be included in the saving of Households. However, contributions to pension schemes and pension benefits have already been recorded on 1.5 Secondary Distribution of Income Account (as social contributions and social benefits). Therefore, an adjustment is needed to include in the saving of Households the change in pension funds reserves on which they have a definite claim. This adjustment is called D.8 ‘Adjustment for the change in pension entitlements’. There is no need for a similar adjustment concerning life insurance because life insurance premiums and benefits are not recorded as current transactions. The balancing item for this account is B.8g Gross Saving.

 

1.7 External account

This account records the summarised transactions of S.2 the Rest of the World sector, including on the uses side exports of goods and services, primary incomes and current transfers receivable. The resources side of this account includes imports of goods and services together with primary incomes and transfers payable. The balancing item is B.12 Current External Balance, which records the balance on current accounts with the Rest of the World.

 

Capital accounts:

1.8 Change in Net Worth due to Saving and Capital Transfers

On this account the capital transfers are recorded and combined with gross saving and the current external balance. The resulting balancing item is B.10.1 Changes in Net Worth due to Saving and Capital Transfers.

1.9 Acquisition of Non-Financial Assets Account

On this account gross fixed capital formation, changes in inventories, acquisitions less disposals of valuables and non-produced non-financial assets are recorded among the uses. The decline in the value of fixed capital goods caused by consumption of fixed capital goods is recorded among the resources. The balancing item is Net Lending (+) or Borrowing (-). It shows the amount a sector can lend / invest or has to borrow as a result of its current and capital transactions.

 

Seasonal Adjustment       

 

Seasonally adjusted estimates of Household Saving are done using the indirect seasonal adjustment approach. Under this approach the two main aggregates Household Disposable Income and Final Consumption Expenditure of Households are independently adjusted.  In the case of Household Saving, however, this estimate is derived by taking the difference between the two adjusted series of Household Disposable Income and Final Expenditure of Households. This method for estimating the seasonally adjusted value for a small net residual of two large aggregates, such as Household Saving is considered a more appropriate estimation procedure.

 

As part of the seasonal adjustment process, ARIMA models are identified for each series based on unadjusted data spanning Q1 1999 to Q4 2014. These models are then applied to the entire series (Q1 1999 to Q4 2014). Seasonal factors and the parameters of the ARIMA models are updated each quarter.

 

The adjustments are completed by applying the X-12-ARIMA model, developed by the U.S. Census Bureau to the unadjusted data. This methodology estimates seasonal factors while also taking into consideration factors that impact on the quality of the seasonal adjustment such as, for example:

• Calendar effects, e.g. the timing of Easter

• Outliers, temporary changes and level shifts in the series

 

For additional information on the use of X-12-ARIMA see (Findley, D.F., B.C. Monsell, W.R. Bell, M.C. Otto, and B. Chen (1998), “New Capabilities and Methods of the X-12-Arima Seasonal Adjustment Program”, Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 16, pp. 127-177.)

 

Definition of Household Saving Ratio

The household saving ratio is gross household  saving expressed as a percentage of total resources i.e. the sum of gross household disposable income and the adjustment for the change in pension entitlements. Household saving in the relevant quarter represent that part of disposable income that is not spent on final consumption of goods and services.  The use of these saving either for financial investment or debt reduction is not recorded in these accounts but is recorded in the financial account (see Quarterly Financial Accounts http://www.centralbank.ie/polstats/stats/qfaccounts/Pages/releases.aspxpublished by the Central Bank of Ireland andhttp://www.cso.ie/en/media/csoie/releasespublications/documents/economy/2012/isanonfinfin2012.pdf for annual integrated financial and non financial account).

 

 

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